WNBA · resolved market
Storm vs Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x612b9200166232b1b3579f597105147814fb9ccf81dff3385ebb97269a224fb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stormof Storm, Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfc9…2b7ebacked Storm | 79c | 4,319$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wings | 21c | 3,910$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.1 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Storm | 75c | 3,429$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.36 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wings | 25c | 3,100$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.99 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Wings | 27c | 1,504$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.5 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Storm | 73c | 1,478$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.95 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Storm | 75c | 1,400$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Storm | 77c | 1,103$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Wings | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Wings | 25c | 913.44$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.36 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Wings | 24c | 747.51$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.97 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Wings | 24c | 532.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.29 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Wings | 25c | 485.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.47 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Wings | 25c | 485$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Storm | 75c | 465.97$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Wings | 9c | 402.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fa…ed3ebacked Storm | 77c | 390.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wings | 26c | 390.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wings | 27c | 374.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Storm | 74c | 360.09$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wings | 29c | 350.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wings | 25c | 306$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Storm | 75c | 200.66$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Storm | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wings | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Wings | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…bf9dbacked Wings | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +191.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Storm | 71c | 161.83$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Storm | 76c | 151.04$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52df…9adfbacked Wings | 26c | 143.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7e…1fc5backed Wings | 26c | 141.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Storm | 74c | 136.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Storm | 73c | 112.17$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Wings | 25c | 106.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wings | 25c | 100.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Wings | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Storm | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +158.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Wings | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…67eabacked Wings | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…1e85backed Storm | 74c | 99.52$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Wings | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Wings | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Wings | 26c | 74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…7dedbacked Wings | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wings | 28c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…f74dbacked Wings | 22c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed Wings | 26c | 50.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Wings | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Wings | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Storm | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Storm | 74c | 43.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Storm | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…1ea3backed Storm | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.