MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x692d6f404d60c7c8cba0a96ab0cab986a125c68044693e963c632bf28b9ef994
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Pirates, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Padres | 59c | 20,330$11,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,335.15 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Pirates | 43c | 16,773$7,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,155.73 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pirates | 41c | 16,500$6,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,765 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Pirates | 77c | 13,100$10,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,087 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…5932backed Pirates | 80c | 12,978$10,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,322.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 74cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Padres | 65c | 11,844$7,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,114.07 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Padres | 57c | 10,153$5,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,365.89 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 25c | 8,334$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,242.55 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 7c | 6,185$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.98 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…5644backed Padres | 26c | 5,251$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,873.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Padres | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Padres | 22c | 4,644$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,633.99 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Padres | 58c | 4,140$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.8 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 39c | 3,901$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.38 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Padres | 63c | 3,644$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.52 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates | 53c | 3,514$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.52 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 42c | 3,216$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.64 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Pirates | 74c | 3,177$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.29 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 38c | 3,055$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Padres | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.96 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Padres | 64c | 2,228$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.42 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 57c | 2,202$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.86 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Padres | 58c | 2,000$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.89 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Padres | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Pirates | 42c | 1,987$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Padres | 23c | 1,957$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.39 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Pirates | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.96 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38bc…c0a2backed Pirates | 79c | 1,762$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Padres | 57c | 1,683$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.07 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 27c | 1,483$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.54 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Padres | 22c | 1,335$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.78 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 56c | 1,174$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.32 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pirates | 41c | 1,146$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.07 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 58c | 1,060$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.34 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pirates | 1c | 1,057$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pirates | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Pirates | 4c | 881.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Padres | 57c | 859.93$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.77 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates | 7c | 759.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Padres | 58c | 703.45$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.45 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Pirates | 79c | 686.48$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.32 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Pirates | 6c | 658.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Padres | 71c | 611.89$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.73 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Pirates | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae73…188abacked Pirates | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 19c | 507.22$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.05 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pirates | 42c | 499.96$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Padres | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Padres | 33c | 456.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.47 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Padres | 41c | 452$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.84 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Padres | 58c | 417.43$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.32 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Padres | 58c | 378.6$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.01 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Pirates | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Pirates | 78c | 351.28$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Padres | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Padres | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Pirates | 77c | 334.26$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.72 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Pirates | 5c | 321.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Pirates | 80c | 320$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb64…4eb4backed Pirates | 76c | 318.22$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.54 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Pirates | 41c | 312$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Padres | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Padres | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Padres | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Padres | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pirates | 43c | 297.67$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Padres | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Pirates | 79c | 266$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.14 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8254…d431backed Padres | 59c | 259.32$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…acd4backed Pirates | 79c | 250.24$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Pirates | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…dc9ebacked Pirates | 43c | 204.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Padres | 51c | 204.01$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 30c | 195.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Padres | 62c | 193.62$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Pirates | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a04…3606backed Pirates | 43c | 176.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Padres | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb6…9d14backed Pirates | 43c | 172.09$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Padres | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pirates | 41c | 165.23$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…c028backed Padres | 58c | 155.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d9…8fb9backed Pirates | 43c | 151.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0a…0a61backed Pirates | 80c | 150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Padres | 30c | 148.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.37 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Pirates | 43c | 147.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…fb0bbacked Pirates | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4d…4316backed Pirates | 42c | 128.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…91d6backed Padres | 58c | 124.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5457…476ebacked Pirates | 42c | 119.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Pirates | 14c | 119.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…5e9cbacked Pirates | 42c | 115.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…f2d3backed Pirates | 42c | 114.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…6db3backed Pirates | 42c | 113$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a7…536cbacked Pirates | 43c | 112.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.