Us Politics · resolved market
Trump tariffs on Mexico in effect by May 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9474fb4fbfc92a5e072ba877c0e66b82d80cb47a382732db74ab1981a8dc0b77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc055…1299backed Yes | 65c | 103,126$67,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,089.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da5…1025backed No | 35c | 103,114$36,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,089.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e9…0801backed No | 25c | 5,282$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 12c | 4,784$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.19 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…89cfbacked Yes | 55c | 3,626$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.43 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 49c | 2,542$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.18 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 32c | 2,386$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.43 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 23c | 2,285$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.45 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked No | 51c | 2,247$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 34c | 2,034$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.49 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…f9f2backed No | 1c | 2,015$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 80c | 1,569$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.78 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed No | 55c | 1,479$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 43c | 1,465$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.37 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 74c | 1,433$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.6 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 57c | 1,273$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.48 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc12…ce48backed No | 27c | 1,271$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 58c | 1,054$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.8 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…0848backed Yes | 70c | 1,015$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 66c | 980$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…9056backed Yes | 79c | 962.43$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed No | 27c | 861.31$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.01 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 58c | 825.03$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.01 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…a1e0backed No | 2c | 797.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 50c | 700$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.68 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…7b42backed No | 65c | 688.08$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.11 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed Yes | 47c | 673.63$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…1d2abacked No | 50c | 495$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked No | 29c | 478.79$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd653…ba9abacked Yes | 38c | 458$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.88 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30c…ddfbbacked Yes | 74c | 425$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.72 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +48%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 21c | 422.81$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.77 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 51c | 411.6$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.63 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 40c | 380$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 52c | 365.33$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.42 | 172 | 38.4%66 W · 106 L | -14.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 25c | 363.12$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.69 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29fc…06b0backed No | 52c | 359.63$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…ad1fbacked Yes | 49c | 341.43$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8d…d880backed Yes | 77c | 323.05$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x690c…8247backed No | 11c | 321.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked Yes | 71c | 280.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 22c | 272.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…a274backed No | 47c | 270.2$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 54c | 269.06$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.3 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 10c | 261.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…18d0backed No | 23c | 255.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 29c | 251.23$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked No | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 55c | 219.65$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.81 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70cb…53d1backed No | 25c | 203.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…7b5cbacked Yes | 49c | 203.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…070abacked No | 50c | 200.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 65c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c87…b44bbacked No | 6c | 197.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 23c | 182.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc2…518dbacked Yes | 57c | 174.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 12c | 173.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed Yes | 77c | 166.36$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…88cebacked No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed Yes | 74c | 153.8$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 56 | 73.2%41 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…c1cebacked No | 54c | 152.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b68…ccb2backed No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 31c | 146.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…eab9backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 37c | 137.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…899fbacked No | 62c | 129.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 75c | 115.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 28c | 113.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…9d88backed Yes | 74c | 107.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…13bdbacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…9fd1backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd543…8e91backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab3…00fdbacked Yes | 46c | 96.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba6a…91d1backed Yes | 42c | 96.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cda…3051backed Yes | 68c | 91.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0355…4c8cbacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…964ebacked Yes | 74c | 78.78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3d…2c18backed No | 49c | 74.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +278.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed No | 17c | 67.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…f9c1backed No | 47c | 61.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…336abacked No | 56c | 60.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1a…7ccbbacked Yes | 69c | 58.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c7…05dfbacked Yes | 42c | 56.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 36c | 54.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…9105backed Yes | 38c | 54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa55…ef43backed Yes | 64c | 51.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x541f…0130backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…e497backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +7.9wins | +0.32per pick | 24cpaid | +320%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe531…f0a4backed No | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…512abacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a2…910abacked Yes | 53c | 46.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b3…f028backed No | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…177ebacked Yes | 56c | 44.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.