WNBA · resolved market
Sky vs Liberty
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ee1a0439f3728bedf526c5e2534bd4d3f0f5c699d44fb16bf74b1d3d707d70d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Skyof Sky, Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sky | 12c | 10,400$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,163.84 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Sky | 18c | 9,200$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,582.72 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sky | 13c | 4,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Sky | 13c | 3,842$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.6 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Sky | 13c | 2,582$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.37 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Sky | 11c | 2,456$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.25 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sky | 11c | 2,423$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.76 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfb…56dfbacked Sky | 9c | 2,079$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Sky | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.99 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Sky | 56c | 1,870$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.61 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Sky | 10c | 1,713$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.7 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Sky | 32c | 1,646$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.51 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Sky | 9c | 1,300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Sky | 16c | 1,287$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.65 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Sky | 11c | 1,134$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.12 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Sky | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Sky | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sky | 10c | 999.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.96 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sky | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.09 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Sky | 14c | 865.81$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.5 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sky | 10c | 764$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.68 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Sky | 15c | 686.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.27 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Sky | 17c | 675.35$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Liberty | 30c | 600$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Sky | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Sky | 10c | 379.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Liberty | 65c | 312.09$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.32 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Sky | 10c | 300$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Sky | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4f…a90bbacked Sky | 19c | 287.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Sky | 11c | 250$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +158.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sky | 22c | 238$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Liberty | 5c | 210.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sky | 11c | 199.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.31 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Sky | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sky | 67c | 190$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…b328backed Sky | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sky | 12c | 157.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.03 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…bf9dbacked Sky | 10c | 154.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +191.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…a0f4backed Sky | 13c | 151.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed Sky | 11c | 125$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Sky | 35c | 113.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Sky | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Sky | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Sky | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Liberty | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Sky | 11c | 97.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Sky | 20c | 66.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Sky | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Liberty | 71c | 49.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Sky | 25c | 45.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Sky | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.