MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae93f49668ec1eda1e7fc5245861e29468a32f9a86e2ec7f2ed2f31d0f422c24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $225,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x971c…da4dbacked Phillies | 64c | 156,782$100,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,033.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Brewers | 37c | 50,006$18,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,368.36 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 36c | 49,990$18,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,903.53 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Brewers | 37c | 11,500$4,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,280 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers | 36c | 11,185$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,167.8 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134e…95bebacked Phillies | 64c | 9,998$6,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,398.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…be17backed Brewers | 36c | 9,996$3,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,397.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Brewers | 37c | 8,553$3,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,372.43 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Brewers | 36c | 8,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,120 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Brewers | 37c | 4,068$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.46 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Brewers | 36c | 3,920$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.75 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Phillies | 66c | 3,530$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.56 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Brewers | 37c | 3,339$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.1 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Brewers | 36c | 3,236$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.46 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Brewers | 36c | 2,222$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.08 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb08…c038backed Brewers | 37c | 2,108$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d3…e1ecbacked Brewers | 37c | 2,100$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 54c | 1,499$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Phillies | 62c | 1,325$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.49 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 36c | 1,263$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.13 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 63c | 1,175$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.87 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ec…5b2dbacked Phillies | 63c | 1,163$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…26f9backed Phillies | 63c | 1,143$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Brewers | 35c | 1,125$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.25 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Brewers | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Brewers | 36c | 1,041$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.24 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Phillies | 63c | 999.99$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.41 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…6576backed Phillies | 63c | 965$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…82bbbacked Phillies | 63c | 937$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 10c | 917.01$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 7c | 874.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 38c | 678.95$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.95 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Brewers | 36c | 662$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.68 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Phillies | 62c | 637.99$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.56 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Brewers | 36c | 606.15$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Phillies | 17c | 600$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Phillies | 64c | 562.5$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Phillies | 41c | 532.49$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.93 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Phillies | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Brewers | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…e1b0backed Phillies | 44c | 477.42$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Brewers | 34c | 446.03$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.38 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Brewers | 68c | 367.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Brewers | 35c | 305.53$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.49 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Phillies | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Brewers | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Phillies | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Brewers | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Brewers | 73c | 255.38$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Phillies | 64c | 250$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 64c | 235.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Brewers | 38c | 201.51$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.55 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Phillies | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Brewers | 36c | 199.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 62c | 199.97$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Brewers | 36c | 189.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.13 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 23c | 176.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Phillies | 64c | 168.75$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Brewers | 37c | 140.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.79 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe773…66f6backed Brewers | 79c | 139.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Phillies | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Brewers | 38c | 92.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…ceaabacked Phillies | 63c | 87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe531…faa5backed Brewers | 37c | 87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6d…72b3backed Phillies | 63c | 85.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ced…8282backed Brewers | 38c | 82.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4f…2ce5backed Brewers | 38c | 82.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…1a4ebacked Phillies | 63c | 82.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa86…147ebacked Phillies | 63c | 78.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Phillies | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x427d…6f52backed Brewers | 38c | 77.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Phillies | 14c | 77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…9790backed Phillies | 64c | 74.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…95c7backed Brewers | 38c | 73.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab01…25d2backed Brewers | 38c | 73.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4db8…d0dcbacked Phillies | 63c | 73.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Phillies | 64c | 66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Brewers | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Phillies | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…8a0cbacked Phillies | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0162…6033backed Brewers | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Brewers | 38c | 60.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Brewers | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Brewers | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Phillies | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Brewers | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Brewers | 36c | 38.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Phillies | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…540ebacked Brewers | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Brewers | 35c | 30.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Phillies | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…fe6abacked Phillies | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Brewers | 58c | 20.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Phillies | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb3…4393backed Phillies | 63c | 16.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.