Ukraine · resolved market
Will Zelensky say "Russia" 10 or more times during his UN address?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a22e5ba81747bb96bfa4f923fba9b7efe1b2663237416623649a43fb190f7e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea0a…8340backed No | 23c | 7,241$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 78c | 5,553$4,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.85 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…ef4ebacked No | 11c | 3,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…5682backed No | 24c | 1,265$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked No | 23c | 1,200$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Yes | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce1…d77bbacked No | 20c | 985.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 77c | 900$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 75c | 781.25$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.31 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 77c | 690.4$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked No | 20c | 579$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.64 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed No | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…8fb7backed No | 6c | 494.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Yes | 76c | 460.13$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…05b5backed Yes | 78c | 428.64$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…0b5dbacked No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…c5aebacked Yes | 77c | 343.72$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b6…b0e5backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 78c | 239.61$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Yes | 78c | 234.34$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2bacbacked No | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b9…9719backed Yes | 79c | 170$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…73bfbacked No | 20c | 168.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f6…aea4backed No | 24c | 165$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ba…000ebacked No | 24c | 162.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 24c | 160.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…8371backed Yes | 79c | 151.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c0…be0cbacked No | 22c | 151.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 20c | 148.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…ae93backed No | 23c | 135.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed No | 18c | 135.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2b…becfbacked Yes | 79c | 134.18$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…46d9backed No | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda92…264dbacked Yes | 79c | 127$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad0a…e84fbacked No | 24c | 125.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34e0…54d6backed No | 25c | 123.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…577abacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…dac1backed No | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…12debacked Yes | 77c | 85.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…a3d6backed No | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…58fcbacked No | 24c | 81.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb398…b888backed No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0151…48cfbacked No | 24c | 74.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c3…54c2backed No | 30c | 73.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5982…fa1ebacked Yes | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 76c | 59.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b3…2159backed Yes | 78c | 51.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…f0aebacked No | 30c | 50.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 76c | 46.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b4…951dbacked No | 23c | 45.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d6…4441backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 77c | 16.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa47c…d464backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zelensky say "Russia" 10 or more times during his UN address?this page
- Will Zelensky say "HIMARS" during his UN address?No won
- Will Zelensky say "Kursk" during his UN address?No won
- Will Zelensky say "Putin" during his UN address?Yes won
- Will Zelensky say "criminal" during his UN address?No won
- Will Zelensky say "money" 5 or more times during his UN address?No won
- Will Zelensky say "nuclear" during his UN address?Yes won
- Will Zelensky say "peace" 3 or more times during his UN address?Yes won
- Will Zelensky say "slava Ukraini" during his UN address?Yes won
- Will Zelensky say "we need" 3 or more times during his UN address?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.