World Politics · resolved market
Kemi Badenoch next Conservative party leader?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x987a07767ccd5f6dea42fa73fd165d188d6d5bf4576b8091a88f0b0a41c4b0e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53c0…f74dbacked Yes | 64c | 6,013$3,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 44c | 2,368$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.52 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b648backed Yes | 65c | 1,259$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.65 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 30c | 1,126$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.13 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 64c | 923.66$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.52 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e7…d258backed Yes | 36c | 850$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 69c | 757.6$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.85 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…ef21backed Yes | 26c | 635.68$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e5…cb71backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…5c9fbacked Yes | 29c | 576.94$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.63 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 31c | 573.67$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.83 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d81…08cfbacked No | 36c | 570$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…a10dbacked Yes | 15c | 552.13$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +225.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141b…7918backed Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a78…4d4ebacked No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 43c | 447.86$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.67 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 17c | 420.58$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.08 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a4…7cc8backed Yes | 48c | 403.4$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 45c | 352.02$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.02 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 28c | 316.2$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.44 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…678cbacked No | 68c | 313.74$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.66 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…8d44backed Yes | 65c | 290$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…d32bbacked Yes | 65c | 280$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927d…13a7backed Yes | 17c | 259.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…695fbacked Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c98…35bebacked Yes | 17c | 241.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +196.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 79c | 239.54$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.98 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7303…4f7abacked Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…60c9backed Yes | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…a395backed No | 68c | 210$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Yes | 22c | 205.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465d…6726backed Yes | 64c | 199.33$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked No | 47c | 180.22$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…4fb2backed Yes | 64c | 170.22$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…ee29backed Yes | 79c | 166.75$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…f162backed No | 16c | 160.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +509.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 16c | 159.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 25c | 158.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e1…884cbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…ade4backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…cc0ebacked Yes | 66c | 143$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 11c | 132.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43bd…215fbacked No | 15c | 131.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be6…405fbacked No | 20c | 120.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e5…2951backed Yes | 64c | 113.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 68c | 112.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 32cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…62b1backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…68d2backed Yes | 64c | 101$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 66c | 100.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…f2a8backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2c…3544backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x646d…d31fbacked Yes | 42c | 95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x217b…bfcdbacked Yes | 74c | 93.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceef…ec6dbacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…ca27backed No | 69c | 87.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…aa4bbacked No | 24c | 85.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…8ae2backed Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fb…e35fbacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae67…faf1backed No | 65c | 75.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d60…5c61backed Yes | 80c | 71.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…559abacked Yes | 78c | 70.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c9…1669backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +151%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…4265backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd023…74f7backed No | 38c | 62.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d26…03febacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…f255backed Yes | 43c | 55.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…fe65backed Yes | 26c | 55.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…0704backed Yes | 32c | 53.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…75dabacked Yes | 38c | 52.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…64adbacked Yes | 38c | 52.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc3…877fbacked No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…6fd9backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c8…9bd1backed No | 23c | 45.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked No | 35c | 44.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 28c | 42.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…2dd8backed No | 36c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f1…8ec6backed Yes | 77c | 40.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69df…9434backed Yes | 66c | 38.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f2…c99dbacked Yes | 64c | 35.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…ea69backed Yes | 64c | 35.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…7f7abacked Yes | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974d…8766backed Yes | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260e…eb9fbacked Yes | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660a…209ebacked No | 37c | 33.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…43e1backed Yes | 64c | 32.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…470bbacked Yes | 64c | 32.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…cebebacked Yes | 64c | 32.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f80…2bbbbacked Yes | 64c | 32.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…d8d5backed Yes | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b59…30debacked Yes | 64c | 31.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5be…73d4backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…7b0cbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6c…287fbacked Yes | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 65c | 26.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4145…fc24backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…a8f1backed No | 63c | 22.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kemi Badenoch next Conservative party leader?this page
- David Cameron next Conservative party leader?No won
- James Cleverly next Conservative party leader?No won
- Jeremy Hunt next Conservative party leader?No won
- Nigel Farage next Conservative party leader?No won
- Priti Patel next Conservative party leader?No won
- Robert Jenrick next Conservative party leader?No won
- Suella Braverman next Conservative party leader?No won
- Tom Tugendhat next Conservative party leader?No won
- Will someone else be the next Conservative party leader?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.