World Politics · resolved market
Robert Jenrick next Conservative party leader?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4742343186280954a67cf912f7bc9d2dd0fe38121df58b5c9306ad4b17a5ef7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 26c | 5,000$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…38fcbacked Yes | 21c | 2,868$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…a2cdbacked No | 43c | 2,674$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 50c | 2,368$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.45 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 41c | 2,348$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.22 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 34c | 2,003$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.39 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +210.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…d478backed Yes | 14c | 1,793$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d5…682bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,631$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…678cbacked No | 61c | 1,600$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.52 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505d…f8c4backed Yes | 34c | 1,412$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 27c | 1,400$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.54 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…f74dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,188$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…1386backed Yes | 35c | 1,146$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 45c | 951.56$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.39 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 885.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.54 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b648backed Yes | 21c | 761.75$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.74 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…7fe1backed Yes | 13c | 680$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7a…65a6backed No | 44c | 642.14$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…ef21backed Yes | 46c | 634.53$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 56c | 633.86$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.33 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e79…2bb8backed Yes | 36c | 600$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e5…cb71backed Yes | 14c | 579.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141b…7918backed Yes | 12c | 499.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…a477backed Yes | 25c | 428.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 79c | 348.91$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceef…ec6dbacked Yes | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff9f…3b8abacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f30…58afbacked Yes | 33c | 299.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…004cbacked No | 44c | 288.67$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes | 36c | 264$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…5d78backed Yes | 20c | 253.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…695fbacked Yes | 35c | 251.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66a…be53backed No | 64c | 250$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 35c | 223.12$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…c4abbacked Yes | 13c | 210$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed No | 65c | 201.65$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…33c5backed Yes | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked No | 78c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…5086backed Yes | 35c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ea…4684backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c0…2b13backed Yes | 34c | 174.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd42…1514backed Yes | 18c | 170$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 13c | 155$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 15c | 150.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…809ebacked No | 64c | 150$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb16e…a134backed Yes | 13c | 147.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 14c | 138.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…dc26backed Yes | 38c | 132.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43bd…215fbacked Yes | 16c | 125.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0afe…a614backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…2c90backed Yes | 14c | 108.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf083…0f66backed Yes | 28c | 106.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…974ebacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…740fbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2c…3544backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…c812backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a58…aca8backed Yes | 14c | 93.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c98…35bebacked Yes | 53c | 86.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +196.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…b942backed No | 64c | 86.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…6552backed No | 44c | 85.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d0…75f2backed Yes | 35c | 79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…12a7backed Yes | 21c | 70.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…559abacked No | 47c | 68.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f1…8ec6backed Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…e367backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6c…287fbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…463cbacked Yes | 33c | 45.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb936…eb1abacked Yes | 35c | 44.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked Yes | 24c | 42.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe929…b944backed No | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…f255backed No | 47c | 36.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…4265backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 65c | 34.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90d3…7163backed Yes | 37c | 34.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf78…7723backed Yes | 36c | 33.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf087…40f5backed No | 79c | 30.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +219%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…5252backed Yes | 51c | 30.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bc…3990backed Yes | 33c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab1f…68dcbacked Yes | 38c | 29.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 49c | 24.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c2…f360backed Yes | 59c | 19.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Robert Jenrick next Conservative party leader?this page
- David Cameron next Conservative party leader?No won
- James Cleverly next Conservative party leader?No won
- Jeremy Hunt next Conservative party leader?No won
- Kemi Badenoch next Conservative party leader?Yes won
- Nigel Farage next Conservative party leader?No won
- Priti Patel next Conservative party leader?No won
- Suella Braverman next Conservative party leader?No won
- Tom Tugendhat next Conservative party leader?No won
- Will someone else be the next Conservative party leader?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.