World Politics · resolved market
Nigel Farage next Conservative party leader?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcfdbdff911d7cc90d6942d8493b378a9b8997f2a9698208d9d1429f683f622b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,988,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,988,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…53f4backed Yes | 0c | 67,304$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…10aebacked Yes | 0c | 65,954$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…8457backed Yes | 0c | 64,491$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb79d…4804backed Yes | 0c | 64,405$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…c234backed Yes | 0c | 63,347$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b2…db82backed Yes | 0c | 62,347$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad3c…5957backed Yes | 0c | 61,327$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8223…7856backed Yes | 0c | 61,198$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35cc…6f5fbacked Yes | 0c | 61,179$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6124…bb32backed Yes | 0c | 55,550$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 40,184$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 40,030$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ad…6d9ebacked Yes | 0c | 34,196$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x390b…2a00backed Yes | 0c | 31,080$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…996abacked Yes | 0c | 30,630$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…4771backed Yes | 0c | 30,630$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e81…cfbcbacked Yes | 0c | 30,630$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…f3f2backed Yes | 0c | 29,880$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…80f9backed Yes | 0c | 29,680$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbebc…e4ccbacked Yes | 0c | 28,434$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…21ddbacked Yes | 0c | 26,652$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8808…4f66backed Yes | 0c | 26,648$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…bbe6backed Yes | 0c | 26,640$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…61dcbacked Yes | 0c | 26,255$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 0c | 17,637$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…a7aebacked Yes | 0c | 14,400$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…398abacked Yes | 0c | 11,952$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…dda6backed Yes | 0c | 11,699$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +213.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 0c | 10,998$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031f…6e1bbacked Yes | 0c | 9,440$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d1…8505backed Yes | 0c | 9,086$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…34c3backed Yes | 0c | 7,450$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…ec38backed Yes | 0c | 7,450$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a2…2fe4backed Yes | 0c | 7,450$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…d0d3backed Yes | 0c | 7,440$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae6…7ad9backed Yes | 0c | 7,425$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc58…a1dbbacked Yes | 0c | 7,425$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d79…1c90backed Yes | 0c | 7,425$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…4a07backed Yes | 0c | 7,400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…71debacked Yes | 0c | 7,400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…ccc7backed Yes | 0c | 7,400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…ee26backed Yes | 0c | 7,400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3f…f5c0backed Yes | 0c | 7,375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…c018backed Yes | 0c | 7,375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2c…0328backed Yes | 0c | 7,375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40c…126dbacked Yes | 0c | 7,357$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbed…4a36backed Yes | 0c | 7,350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…ffebbacked Yes | 0c | 7,350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bc…39f9backed Yes | 0c | 7,348$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a76…7c46backed Yes | 0c | 7,330$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b8…fa07backed Yes | 0c | 7,300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…5940backed Yes | 0c | 7,300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…ee62backed Yes | 0c | 7,300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f4…45c6backed Yes | 0c | 7,275$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e4…bce8backed Yes | 0c | 7,275$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…937cbacked Yes | 0c | 7,250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490c…6a61backed Yes | 0c | 7,250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8067…97a2backed Yes | 0c | 7,250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…0cf6backed Yes | 0c | 7,245$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f1…3b8cbacked Yes | 0c | 7,150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…f175backed Yes | 0c | 7,098$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc84d…e8b5backed Yes | 0c | 6,850$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac8…3cdbbacked Yes | 0c | 6,709$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d72…1c4cbacked Yes | 0c | 6,525$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…0afdbacked Yes | 0c | 6,525$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…08f5backed Yes | 0c | 6,525$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2882…ee48backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…9577backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…63ebbacked Yes | 0c | 6,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7895…d239backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…8b43backed Yes | 0c | 6,495$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2083…2e65backed Yes | 0c | 6,001$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4128…b89fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,975$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff2…f644backed Yes | 0c | 5,957$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…2368backed Yes | 0c | 5,945$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa607…4f72backed Yes | 0c | 5,945$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc354…8ba2backed Yes | 0c | 5,933$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e1…50f8backed Yes | 0c | 5,924$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d8…f3adbacked Yes | 0c | 5,924$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa079…850dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,924$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…61aebacked Yes | 0c | 5,923$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…813fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9576…7cd2backed Yes | 0c | 5,893$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…f34dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,888$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…514bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,829$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d9…8f09backed Yes | 0c | 5,803$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…c320backed Yes | 0c | 5,792$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b3…5e56backed Yes | 0c | 5,778$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6657…e7aabacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705c…9273backed Yes | 0c | 3,995$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…8a6dbacked Yes | 0c | 3,704$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…b48cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…f2a8backed Yes | 1c | 990$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…becdbacked Yes | 4c | 343.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Yes | 5c | 315.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nigel Farage next Conservative party leader?this page
- David Cameron next Conservative party leader?No won
- James Cleverly next Conservative party leader?No won
- Jeremy Hunt next Conservative party leader?No won
- Kemi Badenoch next Conservative party leader?Yes won
- Priti Patel next Conservative party leader?No won
- Robert Jenrick next Conservative party leader?No won
- Suella Braverman next Conservative party leader?No won
- Tom Tugendhat next Conservative party leader?No won
- Will someone else be the next Conservative party leader?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.