MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x079bf3ea28776eedaa3eeefb3bbdc8686b85ddf0163af9d9511350f3b46010ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Rays, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf980…6528backed Astros | 55c | 39,829$21,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,829.97 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Astros | 56c | 20,681$11,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,581.42 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rays | 44c | 18,712$8,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,478.74 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rays | 45c | 11,242$5,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,182.84 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Astros | 55c | 8,529$4,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,685.9 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rays | 45c | 8,061$3,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,423.12 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rays | 45c | 6,780$3,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,747.08 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 45c | 6,530$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,579.62 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Astros | 55c | 6,286$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,457.56 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 60c | 4,692$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.11 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rays | 61c | 3,500$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.75 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rays | 45c | 3,136$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.58 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rays | 45c | 3,002$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.28 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Astros | 41c | 2,149$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Rays | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rays | 65c | 1,564$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.13 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Rays | 47c | 1,479$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.17 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rays | 45c | 1,337$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.18 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Rays | 45c | 1,207$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.1 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros | 25c | 1,204$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rays | 47c | 1,067$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Rays | 47c | 1,048$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.62 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Rays | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rays | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Rays | 45c | 912.8$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.8 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rays | 45c | 854.92$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.21 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Rays | 66c | 809.44$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.21 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Astros | 52c | 695.32$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.57 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rays | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rays | 45c | 594$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.72 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 52c | 502.61$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.71 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rays | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Rays | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Astros | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Astros | 4c | 420$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Rays | 48c | 416.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.66 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Astros | 23c | 416$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rays | 49c | 369.5$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.5 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Astros | 38c | 327.6$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Astros | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Rays | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Rays | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rays | 51c | 290.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.18 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Rays | 59c | 279.1$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.68 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Rays | 44c | 270.83$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.83 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…71bcbacked Rays | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Astros | 54c | 263$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Rays | 44c | 227.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.39 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 45c | 223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Astros | 58c | 208.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Rays | 43c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Rays | 44c | 196.87$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.87 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Astros | 52c | 180$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Astros | 28c | 176.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Rays | 43c | 127.44$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…a9cabacked Rays | 46c | 116.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Rays | 31c | 112$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4ad5backed Rays | 45c | 101.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda9…3d16backed Rays | 45c | 100.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rays | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Astros | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…c525backed Rays | 45c | 96.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…e815backed Astros | 56c | 95.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…07e0backed Astros | 56c | 95.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…b66cbacked Astros | 56c | 92.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Rays | 45c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Rays | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8199…6f79backed Astros | 56c | 86.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…5205backed Astros | 56c | 86.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db3…a936backed Astros | 55c | 85.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Astros | 41c | 84.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…745fbacked Astros | 55c | 83.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c4…dc01backed Rays | 45c | 82.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe969…5d75backed Rays | 45c | 80.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Astros | 56c | 76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Rays | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Rays | 48c | 69.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Rays | 62c | 67.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Rays | 45c | 61.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rays | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Rays | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Rays | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Astros | 47c | 55.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rays | 45c | 51.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…6bf3backed Rays | 46c | 50.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Rays | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Astros | 56c | 45.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6802…3f97backed Rays | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a7…f88dbacked Rays | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rays | 43c | 42.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Rays | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…2367backed Rays | 47c | 36.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Rays | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c9…8110backed Astros | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 37c | 29.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Astros | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.