MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ae92b4058466d5f5f81b043c870b04e7dbdcdc1a5b8507f5ce2ed5a15d9f0b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Giants, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf980…6528backed Marlins | 41c | 35,223$14,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,927.99 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants | 60c | 33,465$20,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,010.64 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1c…a1f8backed Marlins | 43c | 32,602$14,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,583.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4e…44a1backed Giants | 57c | 31,860$18,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,160.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…af7ebacked Giants | 57c | 31,142$17,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,750.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…c435backed Marlins | 43c | 30,892$13,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,608.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Marlins | 41c | 20,098$8,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,869.38 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Giants | 58c | 14,585$8,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,529.54 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 59c | 11,185$6,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.15 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Giants | 63c | 10,341$6,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,512.35 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Marlins | 42c | 10,029$4,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,816.82 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Giants | 58c | 7,657$4,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,448.02 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 59c | 4,448$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.69 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Giants | 60c | 2,447$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.35 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Giants | 42c | 2,319$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.53 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Giants | 59c | 2,288$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.92 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Giants | 34c | 2,222$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.48 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Giants | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Marlins | 42c | 1,988$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.04 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Marlins | 43c | 1,930$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.09 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcd…165cbacked Giants | 55c | 1,822$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Giants | 59c | 1,521$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.22 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Giants | 57c | 1,478$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.48 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Marlins | 44c | 1,450$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Giants | 59c | 1,068$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.95 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Giants | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Giants | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Giants | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb23c…c49fbacked Marlins | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Marlins | 61c | 964.85$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.35 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Giants | 61c | 870.18$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Giants | 38c | 860.09$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Giants | 58c | 856.85$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.29 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Giants | 57c | 801.74$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.99 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants | 56c | 771.3$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.93 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Giants | 58c | 700.46$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.79 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Marlins | 43c | 699.97$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.98 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Giants | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Giants | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe531…faa5backed Giants | 57c | 492$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants | 41c | 483.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Giants | 25c | 480$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Marlins | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Giants | 56c | 444.28$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Giants | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Giants | 57c | 430$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.1 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Giants | 24c | 414.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 50c | 408.29$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.19 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Giants | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Marlins | 43c | 296.51$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.01 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 40c | 290.1$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Giants | 38c | 265.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Giants | 42c | 251.9$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Giants | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Giants | 46c | 236.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Giants | 18c | 229.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Marlins | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Giants | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Giants | 42c | 199.55$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marlins | 37c | 167.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Giants | 56c | 166.32$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Giants | 60c | 152.86$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.72 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea2…0b44backed Giants | 36c | 142.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…82dfbacked Marlins | 43c | 118.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +75%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Giants | 52c | 105.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Marlins | 60c | 105$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Giants | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Giants | 58c | 95.34$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Marlins | 51c | 87.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x525b…3e1fbacked Giants | 58c | 82.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…ae97backed Giants | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Giants | 32c | 79.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Marlins | 38c | 74.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Giants | 57c | 72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Marlins | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Giants | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b6…fddebacked Giants | 62c | 64.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…7d49backed Marlins | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Giants | 24c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Marlins | 38c | 54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cd…0eeebacked Giants | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Giants | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marlins | 42c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marlins | 53c | 44.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Giants | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Giants | 62c | 43.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Giants | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Marlins | 43c | 42.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…c162backed Giants | 57c | 36.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…9362backed Giants | 63c | 34.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -6.4wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x94a7…f88dbacked Giants | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…a16abacked Marlins | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 36c | 32.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Marlins | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Giants | 54c | 26.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…adbebacked Giants | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Giants | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.