MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x929fc92ab667e10775e9f8fa060faa5992f6418c1feb0448b16b34a4718e1575
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Twins, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $243,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 20c | 21,952$4,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,387.16 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Twins | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 39c | 16,414$6,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,347.85 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mariners | 50c | 15,057$7,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,528.72 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Mariners | 66c | 14,033$9,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,835.42 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Twins | 56c | 10,595$5,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,933.66 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Twins | 37c | 7,548$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825.92 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Mariners | 57c | 7,314$4,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.93 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Mariners | 49c | 6,948$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,543.28 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners | 54c | 6,901$3,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,188 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Twins | 51c | 6,666$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.66 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Twins | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners | 63c | 6,102$3,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.9 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcd…165cbacked Twins | 57c | 5,219$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977.22 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Mariners | 54c | 4,966$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.99 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…90c1backed Mariners | 63c | 4,495$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.31 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 47c | 3,949$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 50c | 3,759$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.85 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Twins | 56c | 3,016$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.32 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Twins | 28c | 2,250$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.99 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mariners | 29c | 2,052$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.82 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Twins | 52c | 2,000$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a8…52febacked Twins | 58c | 1,883$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.02 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Twins | 45c | 1,504$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.9 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Mariners | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Twins | 52c | 1,425$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.54 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Twins | 41c | 1,366$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.68 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Mariners | 21c | 1,290$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.99 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Twins | 27c | 1,274$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.71 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mariners | 38c | 1,245$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.68 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Mariners | 41c | 1,217$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.23 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Twins | 48c | 1,171$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.42 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 48c | 1,048$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Mariners | 60c | 1,012$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.38 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Twins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mariners | 50c | 1,000$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.59 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Twins | 45c | 984.57$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.06 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Twins | 40c | 966.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.3 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Mariners | 34c | 892.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.36 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Mariners | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Twins | 50c | 779.96$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.98 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Twins | 32c | 755.93$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.79 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe142…86d5backed Mariners | 34c | 730.38$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.38 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Mariners | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Twins | 59c | 686.47$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.02 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Twins | 25c | 665.48$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.37 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Twins | 55c | 642.73$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.69 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mariners | 18c | 610.53$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.53 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Mariners | 20c | 590$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mariners | 35c | 556.69$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.85 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Mariners | 36c | 553.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.11 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Twins | 57c | 525.97$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Mariners | 50c | 519.7$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.7 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Mariners | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Mariners | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Twins | 69c | 450$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Twins | 46c | 433.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mariners | 50c | 432$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Mariners | 35c | 397.67$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.67 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Twins | 36c | 383.6$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Twins | 53c | 371.71$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.44 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…337fbacked Mariners | 37c | 363.24$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Twins | 48c | 317.78$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.47 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Mariners | 51c | 310.77$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.77 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Mariners | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Twins | 34c | 300$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Mariners | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Twins | 37c | 300$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Mariners | 47c | 300$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.49 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Twins | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5394…4c50backed Mariners | 50c | 299.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Twins | 32c | 298$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ed8dbacked Twins | 51c | 293.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Mariners | 51c | 274.03$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.08 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ff…7a3bbacked Mariners | 51c | 264.71$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.71 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Mariners | 48c | 250$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Twins | 44c | 248.73$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Twins | 66c | 247.65$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.45 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Twins | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Mariners | 48c | 236.13$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Twins | 48c | 222.44$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Mariners | 74c | 216.09$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 35c | 213.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.54 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Twins | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Twins | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Mariners | 35c | 187.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Twins | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mariners | 49c | 148.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Twins | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Twins | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…44fdbacked Twins | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8516backed Twins | 61c | 114.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…dd89backed Twins | 50c | 105.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Twins | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Twins | 44c | 103.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3a…e780backed Twins | 50c | 103.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb3…858dbacked Mariners | 51c | 102.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.