MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x608bb3601aad7cb486dae592635c365746b917981b2167dc19d0d001f072b512
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Mets, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Phillies | 64c | 55,003$35,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,817.82 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 36c | 26,164$9,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,377.75 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Mets | 36c | 23,606$8,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,552.2 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Mets | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mets | 36c | 17,133$6,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,167.79 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 64c | 13,294$8,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,786.34 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mets | 36c | 12,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 64c | 11,431$7,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,156.82 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.97 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…28ccbacked Phillies | 64c | 7,000$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Phillies | 65c | 5,395$3,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.81 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mets | 37c | 5,121$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.14 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 63c | 5,087$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.6 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mets | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Phillies | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 63c | 4,974$3,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.48 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Phillies | 64c | 4,919$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.63 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Phillies | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Phillies | 60c | 3,446$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.27 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mets | 41c | 3,367$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.03 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 57c | 3,031$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.43 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Mets | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Mets | 37c | 3,003$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.24 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Phillies | 59c | 2,859$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.83 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Phillies | 63c | 2,686$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.6 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Phillies | 64c | 2,220$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mets | 1c | 2,025$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Mets | 50c | 2,000$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.6 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mets | 3c | 1,701$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Mets | 33c | 1,640$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.55 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mets | 35c | 1,579$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 62c | 1,564$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.68 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mets | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Phillies | 62c | 1,400$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.97 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 40c | 1,258$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.37 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 65c | 1,231$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.77 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mets | 37c | 1,165$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.45 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mets | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Mets | 2c | 905.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Mets | 36c | 721.41$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.7 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Phillies | 63c | 710.67$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.67 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Mets | 28c | 669.93$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Mets | 39c | 633.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 63c | 600.01$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.17 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Phillies | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Mets | 43c | 586.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…437cbacked Phillies | 64c | 562.81$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.81 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Phillies | 64c | 540$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.4 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Phillies | 64c | 507.69$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.98 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mets | 34c | 499.87$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.96 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Mets | 51c | 420.83$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.53 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mets | 23c | 392.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Phillies | 64c | 380.49$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.98 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Mets | 36c | 332.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mets | 39c | 319$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.19 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Mets | 36c | 317.21$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Phillies | 65c | 305.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.94 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Mets | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Mets | 35c | 299.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Phillies | 65c | 295$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Mets | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mets | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 62c | 277.36$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Mets | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd22d…6e49backed Mets | 38c | 263.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…580dbacked Phillies | 65c | 247.92$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.77 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mets | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mets | 39c | 208.7$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Mets | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Phillies | 61c | 196.34$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Phillies | 77c | 193$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Phillies | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a5…faeabacked Mets | 28c | 143.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 67c | 137.43$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…932dbacked Mets | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Phillies | 66c | 130$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Mets | 33c | 121$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mets | 39c | 120.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 77c | 108.39$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Phillies | 53c | 107.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Mets | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Phillies | 66c | 99.55$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 56c | 99.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Phillies | 71c | 92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Phillies | 66c | 91.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked Mets | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Mets | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Mets | 37c | 89.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…dae7backed Phillies | 67c | 88.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Phillies | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…4a1abacked Mets | 37c | 80.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e0…0102backed Phillies | 64c | 79.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d78…a604backed Phillies | 66c | 76.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mets | 41c | 76.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Phillies | 65c | 71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Phillies | 66c | 66.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.