MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46638e42f8154da67ebcd99f50bf0f5d6f58cef4f3ac23db4d3f1bced85c8115
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Reds, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 32c | 5,844$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Guardians | 20c | 5,253$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.62 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 50c | 5,235$2,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635.25 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Reds | 49c | 4,195$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.35 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 49c | 3,200$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.99 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Reds | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 78c | 2,316$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.22 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Guardians | 48c | 2,058$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.7 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Reds | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Reds | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Guardians | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Reds | 49c | 1,893$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.15 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians | 50c | 1,629$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.46 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…2377backed Guardians | 40c | 1,497$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Guardians | 50c | 1,260$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.93 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Reds | 70c | 1,239$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.09 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Reds | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Reds | 49c | 1,067$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.93 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Reds | 68c | 1,031$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.02 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Reds | 51c | 1,021$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.13 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Guardians | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Guardians | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 80c | 987.2$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.88 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Reds | 67c | 881.45$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.77 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Reds | 76c | 881$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.01 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 49c | 880.3$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.35 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Guardians | 50c | 811.43$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.56 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Guardians | 51c | 809.55$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.76 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Reds | 78c | 801.88$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.44 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Guardians | 50c | 718.35$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.18 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Guardians | 40c | 631.48$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Guardians | 50c | 606$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.06 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Guardians | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 50c | 594.43$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.43 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Guardians | 26c | 573.02$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Reds | 48c | 520.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.92 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Reds | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Reds | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 52c | 483.77$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.56 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Reds | 49c | 435.1$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.19 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…91debacked Reds | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Reds | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Guardians | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…90f2backed Reds | 51c | 391.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.73 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…6e89backed Reds | 51c | 390.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.58 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…3526backed Guardians | 50c | 389.68$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…bccbbacked Reds | 51c | 385.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Guardians | 52c | 384.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Guardians | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a2…ecdfbacked Guardians | 50c | 373.78$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…4aedbacked Guardians | 50c | 369.14$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338a…259fbacked Guardians | 50c | 364.92$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.46 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafdf…9127backed Reds | 51c | 361.08$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…7381backed Reds | 51c | 360.82$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bc…c8b4backed Reds | 51c | 360.02$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.41 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +55%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Guardians | 12c | 357.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…cbebbacked Reds | 51c | 356.14$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…dd21backed Guardians | 50c | 351.04$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe30…2950backed Guardians | 50c | 337.56$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…93e6backed Reds | 51c | 331.88$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdeb…fd7ebacked Guardians | 50c | 328.62$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9657…4faebacked Guardians | 50c | 306.3$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Reds | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Guardians | 52c | 289.69$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.64 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Guardians | 40c | 220$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…3c82backed Reds | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Guardians | 37c | 200.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Reds | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Guardians | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…62b8backed Guardians | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Reds | 46c | 188.1$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.1 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…7166backed Reds | 50c | 182$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69e…848bbacked Reds | 50c | 168$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 47c | 166.51$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…e629backed Reds | 50c | 164$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Reds | 80c | 156.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe344…456dbacked Guardians | 50c | 156$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Reds | 53c | 150.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked Guardians | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Reds | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 51c | 142.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Reds | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Reds | 52c | 125.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Reds | 55c | 122.41$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83c…a102backed Guardians | 50c | 122$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a04…3606backed Guardians | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…2521backed Guardians | 50c | 118$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…4b34backed Guardians | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Guardians | 30c | 109$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…b000backed Guardians | 50c | 108$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Reds | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.