MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93b1f1dbe956f59c8c0fc1558cc7a9b3a6bea8b9070e9627633fa6d80bbb83de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Guardians, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $294,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Guardians | 47c | 203,905$96,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,678.4 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners | 53c | 75,677$40,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,239.6 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mariners | 53c | 39,635$21,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,628.45 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Mariners | 51c | 22,056$11,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,807.59 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Guardians | 49c | 20,419$9,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,989.6 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Mariners | 52c | 15,000$7,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,245.21 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Mariners | 53c | 12,610$6,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,926.7 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mariners | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,639.99 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mariners | 53c | 10,700$5,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,029 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Mariners | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.96 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 52c | 9,180$4,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,406.54 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Guardians | 47c | 8,609$4,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,046.09 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Guardians | 7c | 7,705$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.86 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 52c | 6,692$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.25 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Guardians | 1c | 5,009$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Mariners | 55c | 3,600$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Mariners | 54c | 3,333$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.18 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Mariners | 54c | 3,333$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.18 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mariners | 53c | 2,773$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.23 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Guardians | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mariners | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mariners | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Mariners | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Guardians | 1c | 2,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Mariners | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Guardians | 49c | 1,988$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.12 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Guardians | 46c | 1,854$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mariners | 53c | 1,702$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.94 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Mariners | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Mariners | 52c | 1,513$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.24 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mariners | 51c | 1,513$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.37 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Guardians | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 52c | 1,125$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.9 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 5c | 1,071$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Mariners | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 48c | 999.95$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.97 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Guardians | 2c | 917.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Guardians | 6c | 900$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mariners | 64c | 611$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.27 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Guardians | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mariners | 55c | 488$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.72 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Mariners | 53c | 467$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.49 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Mariners | 54c | 461.9$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.9 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mariners | 53c | 445.21$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.25 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Mariners | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Guardians | 49c | 408$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Guardians | 46c | 406$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.76 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Mariners | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Guardians | 33c | 370.44$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.82 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Guardians | 45c | 314$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Mariners | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 58c | 294$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78d…b76abacked Guardians | 47c | 233.89$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…424bbacked Guardians | 47c | 210.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mariners | 49c | 208.83$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 50c | 199.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Guardians | 45c | 174$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f5…9e11backed Guardians | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ab…812fbacked Guardians | 47c | 168.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906e…99b5backed Mariners | 53c | 149.06$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bc…cefcbacked Mariners | 53c | 149.05$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473b…bdbbbacked Mariners | 53c | 132.07$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd548…c192backed Mariners | 53c | 130.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Guardians | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Guardians | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 55c | 117$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…6e4abacked Mariners | 53c | 116.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Mariners | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Mariners | 50c | 112$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Mariners | 53c | 110.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mariners | 53c | 107.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Mariners | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…35cebacked Mariners | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Guardians | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Guardians | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guardians | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 45c | 95.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ff…7a3bbacked Mariners | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Mariners | 53c | 86.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Mariners | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Mariners | 54c | 73.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mariners | 53c | 68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…d086backed Mariners | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Guardians | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Guardians | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mariners | 53c | 47.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf817…80ccbacked Guardians | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Mariners | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Guardians | 48c | 39.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Guardians | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…b798backed Mariners | 52c | 35.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Guardians | 49c | 30.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…7b4ebacked Guardians | 45c | 29.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mariners | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Mariners | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Guardians | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Mariners | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.