TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rockiesof Giants, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$237,703
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$249,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,703 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Rockies34c25,000$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,499.9915553.5%83 W · 72 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Giants66c22,871$15,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,095.0720850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Rockies11c15,240$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,569.0119650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf980…6528backed Rockies34c14,608$4,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,643.9811746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Giants69c10,743$7,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,425.2479740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies10c9,182$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,283.8995930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rockies31c8,100$2,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,572.4297950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Giants71c7,028$5,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,002.8776456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies34c6,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,959.841,15349.2%567 W · 586 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Rockies35c5,869$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,815.0744456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies25c4,868$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,674.392,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee2a…6aaabacked Rockies35c4,615$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Giants80c4,235$3,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,367.5240547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies13c4,023$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,490.681,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies32c3,992$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,730.571,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Giants0c3,732$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.65283.6%1 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-91.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Giants79c3,219$2,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.8968769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9708…925bbacked Giants65c2,885$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,87516643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Giants68c2,800$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.8632852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38ba…92f7backed Giants65c2,769$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8009346.2%43 W · 50 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies34c2,654$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.232,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Giants66c2,500$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Giants67c2,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.9731346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked Rockies35c1,895$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.471752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Rockies34c1,782$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.867554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies7c1,690$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.031,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Rockies33c1,650$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.527953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3451…49a5backed Giants66c1,639$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0821650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a9…609fbacked Giants2c1,474$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.093844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Giants78c1,435$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.8617744.1%78 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rockies35c1,416$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.021,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Giants68c1,338$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ce…13eebacked Giants65c1,167$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.726538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Giants68c1,030$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70023852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Giants69c1,026$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.6417754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Rockies12c1,020$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.910719.6%21 W · 86 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc54a…94f3backed Giants65c1,011$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.11586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick71cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Giants60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Rockies10c1,000$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90023938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Giants65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Rockies31c886.89$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.961,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Rockies29c824.94$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.0618349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Rockies20c805.53$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.378139.5%32 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rockies15c803.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.8539436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Giants71c800$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56868656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61fb…e089backed Rockies5c800$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick18cpaid+42.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Rockies5c745$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.2145248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Giants68c735.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50080955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27be…e3a9backed Giants66c687.79$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.942646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa075…7d2bbacked Giants75c669.87$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003281.3%26 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Rockies9c619.12$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.9615642.9%67 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Giants77c607.8$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.0254941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Giants66c600$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39642452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Rockies9c519.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.9915543.2%67 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f9f…59f3backed Giants78c512.82$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003256.3%18 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Giants65c499.98$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.9951151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Rockies34c494.07$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.3885047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Giants66c472.65$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.7712624.6%31 W · 95 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Giants66c463.08$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.11,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ef…bcb4backed Rockies35c460.83$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.54955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Giants68c441.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed Rockies35c425.68$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.693458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rockies33c400$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2683,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Giants65c400$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.714951.7%77 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Giants66c400$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26414150.4%71 W · 70 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Rockies32c399.99$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.9933852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Rockies8c399.66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.6915644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Rockies28c398.67$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.3418236.3%66 W · 116 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Giants66c378.79$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25cc…3601backed Giants66c377$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.8210550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae09…fa6dbacked Giants66c374.24$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2477549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Giants71c374.17$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.895641.1%23 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rockies32c373.15$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.745,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants70c357.14$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Giants78c342.94$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.479,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb3a…9b0ebacked Rockies35c322.83$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.84955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Giants65c314.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7441643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2252…3f47backed Giants66c313.23$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.731070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+44.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Rockies32c312.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.821,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Giants66c303.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Giants69c302.5$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20866645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Giants69c300$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.492754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants70c287.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Rockies4c282.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.125862%12 W · 574 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe26a…8519backed Giants66c269.7$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1781030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1c8…074cbacked Giants66c269.61$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.941154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies24c267.61$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.954,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Giants78c262.52$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.31,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac6…89c4backed Rockies35c262.17$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+43.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae3f…12fabacked Giants51c250$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2512025.8%31 W · 89 L-15.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x398c…3738backed Giants66c246.29$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.551070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc028…9349backed Giants62c241.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Rockies31c239.41$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.1986751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ac…1914backed Giants66c227.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.47540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d50…1a6ebacked Rockies35c227.37$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.791070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+47.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5505…3a83backed Rockies33c212.12$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1210552.4%55 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Giants65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13016347.2%77 W · 86 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeac7…fec6backed Giants65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309150.5%46 W · 45 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fc5…82d1backed Giants66c189.15$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.841050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Giants65c185.46$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5515256.6%86 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.