MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07a6e79f7b274e18fb44dfd3e795a1cb238ac64f49b624e2257c9605d526c336
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Brewers | 1c | 5,223$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cardinals | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 73c | 3,975$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.26 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cardinals | 46c | 3,333$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.8 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Brewers | 9c | 3,208$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Brewers | 54c | 2,771$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.11 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 54c | 2,609$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.08 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cardinals | 72c | 2,600$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.47 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Brewers | 55c | 2,395$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.25 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Brewers | 53c | 2,150$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.49 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Brewers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Brewers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Cardinals | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Cardinals | 47c | 1,995$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.35 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Brewers | 53c | 1,811$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.3 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cardinals | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Brewers | 7c | 1,373$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Brewers | 24c | 1,173$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.45 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 46c | 1,028$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.65 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cardinals | 66c | 1,014$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.27 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cardinals | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 47c | 999.96$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Brewers | 2c | 993.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Brewers | 53c | 988.35$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.83 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cardinals | 45c | 876.77$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.39 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Brewers | 24c | 835.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Brewers | 53c | 775$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.75 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Brewers | 54c | 763.61$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.35 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 54c | 747.59$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Brewers | 53c | 747.31$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.39 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Brewers | 2c | 742.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Brewers | 11c | 733.19$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Brewers | 19c | 714.02$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Cardinals | 75c | 652.89$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals | 46c | 501.13$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.61 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Brewers | 53c | 480$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cardinals | 76c | 457$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…754fbacked Brewers | 9c | 426.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Brewers | 15c | 417$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Brewers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers | 54c | 370$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…81f0backed Brewers | 24c | 312$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cardinals | 44c | 305$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Brewers | 6c | 289.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Brewers | 6c | 284.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 39c | 270.39$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Brewers | 55c | 256$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 46c | 217.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 10c | 216.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Brewers | 17c | 206.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Brewers | 55c | 200.01$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.46 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cardinals | 48c | 192.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Brewers | 54c | 185.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 55c | 182.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Brewers | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Cardinals | 63c | 160.09$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Brewers | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cardinals | 47c | 147$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.91 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers | 18c | 123.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Cardinals | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…27debacked Brewers | 19c | 102.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Cardinals | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Cardinals | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals | 59c | 82.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Cardinals | 46c | 81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Brewers | 53c | 78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Brewers | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 48c | 70.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…4c52backed Cardinals | 79c | 69.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Brewers | 16c | 65.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Brewers | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Cardinals | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Brewers | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Cardinals | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Cardinals | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Brewers | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals | 45c | 38.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Brewers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Brewers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Cardinals | 60c | 36.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Brewers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cardinals | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed Brewers | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cardinals | 47c | 30.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Brewers | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Brewers | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.