WNBA · resolved market
Aces vs Liberty
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0f09b4ad86b2f57e81ec53058b4e6d399534595d5f93da59f268406ce986a69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Libertyof Aces, Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Liberty | 62c | 8,939$5,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,396.78 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Aces | 38c | 8,683$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.49 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Aces | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Liberty | 62c | 4,003$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Aces | 36c | 2,271$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.05 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Aces | 30c | 1,129$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Liberty | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Liberty | 60c | 879.58$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.83 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Liberty | 62c | 582.11$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.23 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Liberty | 78c | 417$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.49 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Liberty | 69c | 112$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Liberty | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Aces | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Liberty | 63c | 43.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 71cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Liberty | 62c | 39.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Liberty | 61c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.