MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1343f2c44bac45a1abe3d475d67647341ec569cbcc8fe6bb5defa0c55e2a1842
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Rays, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $375,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $394,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Red Sox | 51c | 193,478$98,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,704.89 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rays | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,500 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rays | 49c | 31,474$15,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,053.59 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Rays | 49c | 23,988$11,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,157.19 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Rays | 49c | 20,008$9,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,204.2 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Rays | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 51c | 19,866$10,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,811.4 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rays | 49c | 11,695$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,944.56 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rays | 50c | 10,039$5,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,019.3 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rays | 58c | 9,228$5,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,858.27 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Rays | 72c | 7,773$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.36 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 48c | 6,795$3,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.12 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Red Sox | 20c | 6,250$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Rays | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Red Sox | 34c | 5,691$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.85 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rays | 49c | 5,622$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.54 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rays | 49c | 5,379$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.72 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Rays | 76c | 5,055$3,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.46 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 63c | 4,703$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Rays | 51c | 3,346$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.7 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox | 49c | 3,288$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.08 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Rays | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Rays | 50c | 2,383$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.5 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Red Sox | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Rays | 48c | 1,994$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.84 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Red Sox | 50c | 1,848$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.87 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rays | 50c | 1,697$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.62 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Red Sox | 29c | 1,637$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.96 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rays | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.83 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Rays | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.97 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rays | 49c | 1,600$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.97 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Rays | 62c | 1,596$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.44 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Red Sox | 16c | 1,543$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Red Sox | 49c | 1,532$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rays | 48c | 1,460$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.42 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Red Sox | 36c | 1,453$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.9 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Rays | 80c | 1,380$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rays | 78c | 1,370$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.01 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rays | 56c | 1,312$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.37 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rays | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rays | 47c | 1,193$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.34 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rays | 65c | 1,186$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.8 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox | 48c | 1,120$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.84 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…ab82backed Red Sox | 52c | 1,070$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…8132backed Rays | 48c | 1,070$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Rays | 50c | 1,010$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.3 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Sox | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rays | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Red Sox | 20c | 990.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Red Sox | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…b626backed Red Sox | 52c | 942$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…838fbacked Rays | 48c | 942$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Sox | 51c | 866.88$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.11 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Rays | 51c | 847.78$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.41 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Red Sox | 50c | 789.16$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.58 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Rays | 56c | 719.46$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.08 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Rays | 61c | 709.71$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.97 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Red Sox | 51c | 691.53$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.68 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18be…add4backed Rays | 49c | 675$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rays | 50c | 663$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Rays | 68c | 649.87$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.31 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Rays | 50c | 649.24$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.62 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Rays | 76c | 647$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.25 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Red Sox | 6c | 632.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Rays | 62c | 612.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.94 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Red Sox | 50c | 600$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Rays | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.99 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Rays | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Red Sox | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Red Sox | 22c | 459.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.86 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Red Sox | 52c | 450.43$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.38 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Red Sox | 17c | 449.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…f07abacked Rays | 49c | 436.78$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.76 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Red Sox | 31c | 408.03$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.49 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Sox | 31c | 407.94$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.35 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Rays | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Red Sox | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Rays | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Red Sox | 26c | 390.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Rays | 50c | 345.18$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.75 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…dd21backed Red Sox | 52c | 338.69$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Red Sox | 57c | 336.34$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.26 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…3526backed Rays | 49c | 332.41$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…9298backed Red Sox | 53c | 329.21$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…6951backed Rays | 49c | 325.31$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Red Sox | 52c | 320.82$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…93e6backed Red Sox | 52c | 320.69$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…f9cdbacked Rays | 49c | 320.14$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd113…7c96backed Red Sox | 23c | 317.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Rays | 48c | 299.95$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.97 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…cbebbacked Red Sox | 53c | 297.13$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Rays | 48c | 293.96$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.86 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rays | 74c | 290.05$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Red Sox | 43c | 289.62$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.13 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Rays | 50c | 280$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Rays | 60c | 266$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.11 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rays | 56c | 261.55$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.11 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Red Sox | 25c | 260$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b40…80a4backed Rays | 49c | 249.57$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.28 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Rays | 49c | 242.6$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.73 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.