NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Nets

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x772dafc7b7ec1b3d49da11e97f7514076a754422e21c637c5ddbb8a0090b0a53

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Nets
Resolved: Apr 4, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $172,505
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $157,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,505 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfc36…1fa0backed Nets	12c	16,772$2,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,012.62	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8377…4198backed Nets	12c	13,600$1,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,632	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets	12c	12,671$1,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,538.81	964	47.8%461 W · 503 L	+35.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets	14c	9,755$1,366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,365.71	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Nets	12c	9,181$1,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,101.7	464	26.1%121 W · 343 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets	3c	8,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Nets	1c	6,750$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	878	3%26 W · 852 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-62%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Nets	0c	5,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	335	0%0 W · 335 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Nets	9c	4,669$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.21	170	47.1%80 W · 90 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Nets	15c	3,930$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	105	41%43 W · 62 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd46a…5adbbacked Nets	14c	3,571$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Nets	13c	2,708$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.07	461	31%143 W · 318 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Nets	14c	2,500$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	406	27.8%113 W · 293 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Nets	5c	2,168$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.74	129	38%49 W · 80 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Nets	7c	2,036$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.13	220	49.1%108 W · 112 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Nets	14c	1,500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	463	42.5%197 W · 266 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Nets	1c	1,400$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	376	27.9%105 W · 271 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Nets	7c	1,216$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.04	1,409	40.2%567 W · 842 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Nets	13c	1,154$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	165	32.1%53 W · 112 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Nets	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	321	30.2%97 W · 224 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Nets	6c	960.9$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.5	472	29.4%139 W · 333 L	-33.1wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Nets	2c	793.67$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.18	750	2%15 W · 735 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Nets	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	64	29.7%19 W · 45 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Nets	13c	742$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.18	377	34%128 W · 249 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2f…3c50backed Nets	13c	730.77$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	135	53.3%72 W · 63 L	+8.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+17%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Nets	7c	700$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	143	4.9%7 W · 136 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Nets	5c	624.63$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.99	185	18.4%34 W · 151 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a6…d4a9backed Nets	13c	584.62$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x433b…58debacked Nets	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	57	26.3%15 W · 42 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b91…6f8ebacked Nets	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	110	43.6%48 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Nets	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	336	38.1%128 W · 208 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed Nets	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	111	40.5%45 W · 66 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Nets	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	235	55.3%130 W · 105 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x670d…0825backed Nets	13c	307.69$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	+9.1wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb47c…0719backed Nets	13c	284.62$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	157	45.2%71 W · 86 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x649c…6e4fbacked Nets	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Nets	10c	239.29$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	679	11%75 W · 604 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Nets	13c	223.08$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Nets	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	229	39.7%91 W · 138 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd7…cb0bbacked Nets	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-3.8wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Nets	10c	200$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	156	13.5%21 W · 135 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Nets	13c	192.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	718	23.3%167 W · 551 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb07…3245backed Nets	13c	192.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	132	43.9%58 W · 74 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3f…2d0fbacked Nets	13c	176.92$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	152	44.7%68 W · 84 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb03…8ba5backed Nets	13c	161.54$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	138	39.9%55 W · 83 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1400…40d8backed Nets	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d3d…541dbacked Nets	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	119	45.4%54 W · 65 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked Nets	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	634	45.1%286 W · 348 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50bc…61acbacked Nets	14c	139.29$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-51%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc182…b720backed Nets	30c	133.55$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	53	32.1%17 W · 36 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-30%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x427d…6f52backed Nets	13c	124.91$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.59	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa14f…00ffbacked Nets	13c	123.08$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	134	45.5%61 W · 73 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Nets	13c	117.44$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.27	269	33.5%90 W · 179 L	-12.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Nets	13c	107$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.91	701	47.8%335 W · 366 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5949…6d11backed Nets	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	103	43.7%45 W · 58 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Nets	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	686	42.1%289 W · 397 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Nets	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	131	38.9%51 W · 80 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Nets	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	174	64.9%113 W · 61 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc875…70f0backed Nets	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb31…a22fbacked Nets	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	143	46.2%66 W · 77 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Nets	12c	99.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	316	31.6%100 W · 216 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c02…b4d4backed Timberwolves	69c	77.1$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.9	336	39%131 W · 205 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Timberwolves vs. Nets

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market