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MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Angelsof Athletics, Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,990
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,990 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc605…d372backed Angels59c45,587$27,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,476.18641.9%36 W · 50 L-15.3wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics35c18,816$6,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,533.7986751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Athletics41c16,232$6,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,671.39749.5%48 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Angels57c13,000$7,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,59014648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics42c6,500$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7301,15749.2%569 W · 588 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics42c4,283$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.891,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics38c3,475$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.332,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Athletics38c3,025$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.789,86246.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L+40.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Athletics8c2,929$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.712624.6%31 W · 95 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Athletics42c2,850$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.971,92453.4%1,028 W · 896 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Athletics43c2,679$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.9517351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Athletics6c2,159$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12525511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Angels63c2,074$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.4514951.7%77 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Angels59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82027953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Athletics43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9137446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x343c…741dbacked Athletics41c1,990$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.884744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Angels58c1,700$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72188549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Athletics41c1,675$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.8923752.7%125 W · 112 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Athletics41c1,618$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.161,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Angels57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64525550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Athletics40c1,434$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.333943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Athletics10c1,400$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13312314.6%18 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Athletics43c1,366$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.3850852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Angels76c1,190$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.091,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Athletics2c1,164$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfffe…1df7backed Angels59c1,150$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.53941%16 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc3b…f625backed Athletics2c1,100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177935.4%28 W · 51 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+63.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Angels58c1,036$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.62977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Athletics1c1,005$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.146631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed Angels57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43010240.2%41 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Angels57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Athletics43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Athletics42c951.92$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.897950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Athletics3c916.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.85053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Athletics13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Athletics4c745.56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2719233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics6c648.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.631,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Angels58c603.32$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.395,23556.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L+130.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics43c561.83$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.562,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77be…951abacked Athletics3c533.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Athletics13c509.87$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6522312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Angels58c499.91$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9671751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Angels56c494.96$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.7827751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Athletics7c494.6$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5512335%43 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Athletics42c455.59$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.0285047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ea…d560backed Angels57c454.31$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc90b…b81abacked Athletics43c454.31$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics22c450.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.881,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Angels57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1727650%38 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed Angels57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1727238.9%28 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Athletics43c364.45$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2570946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Athletics8c340$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.94754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Athletics42c323.33$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.061,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Athletics28c299.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8354941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.162,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Angels59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2420645.1%93 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Athletics41c251.17$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1340352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ff0…7881backed Angels58c245.38$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.742842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed Athletics24c245.28$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0620343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f18…77c9backed Athletics17c243.41$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428434.5%29 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1fd…af0dbacked Athletics45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Athletics41c217.2$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0518848.4%91 W · 97 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Athletics35c213.3$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.721,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Athletics43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8662846.2%290 W · 338 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Athletics15c178.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3863942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Athletics8c177.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Angels58c172.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6511058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Athletics20c167.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3417744.1%78 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Angels61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.519566.2%129 W · 66 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x404c…f8e7backed Angels59c144.24$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.584245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Athletics10c144$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5541751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd441…2338backed Athletics42c142.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.732751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Athletics42c136.79$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.921,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bed…8a60backed Athletics44c127.27$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb162…28cfbacked Athletics41c115.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Angels58c114.53$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.12,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…fd3ebacked Athletics42c107.48$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Angels60c106.67$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6774356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa22b…6a60backed Athletics43c106.18$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0130%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Angels60c106.1$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4499951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Angels59c106$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.462,05853.8%1,107 W · 951 L+33.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeec8…29b5backed Angels57c105.7$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.453043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2474…7473backed Athletics45c103.6$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.623243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd958…2ee0backed Athletics45c101.51$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.622951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd7…cb0bbacked Athletics44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick50cpaid-58.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Angels62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3819650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Athletics38c99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6217732.8%58 W · 119 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Angels58c95$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.361,05750.4%533 W · 524 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Athletics40c95$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3865549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Angels56c94.86$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.741,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81d7…4e4fbacked Athletics44c93.8$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x697b…0d4ebacked Angels58c92.53$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.862544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7b…d9b2backed Angels58c92.31$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a6…b0d4backed Angels59c87.69$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde93…0c11backed Angels60c86.47$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb97…add3backed Angels57c86.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.177142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x17ab…cdcbbacked Angels58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2112862.5%80 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bf9…71a3backed Angels59c85.68$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa9…bfd3backed Angels58c85.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.