NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Knicks

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e0f1507528471d27cbea8bff551f0d3a2e1f42efeb2ca2881d170c8e775b849

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Knicksof Wizards, Knicks
Resolved: Mar 23, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $205,102
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $200,135

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,102 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards	10c	25,026$2,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,379.85	964	47.8%461 W · 503 L	+35.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	10c	21,025$2,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,152.96	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2379…9ac8backed Wizards	8c	7,808$593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592.92	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-33%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…128ebacked Wizards	10c	7,500$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Wizards	11c	6,300$693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693	139	29.5%41 W · 98 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards	2c	5,294$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.77	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Wizards	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	335	0%0 W · 335 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1859…fc9cbacked Wizards	7c	4,262$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.33	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Wizards	1c	3,721$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.31	156	13.5%21 W · 135 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc254…b899backed Wizards	11c	3,636$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	61	21.3%13 W · 48 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Wizards	10c	3,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	297	47.5%141 W · 156 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed Wizards	11c	2,841$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	111	40.5%45 W · 66 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69f3…db29backed Wizards	1c	2,700$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-81.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Wizards	4c	2,300$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.5	365	14.2%52 W · 313 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe727…a39cbacked Wizards	1c	2,214$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	657	26%171 W · 486 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Wizards	11c	2,091$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.99	166	17.5%29 W · 137 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards	1c	2,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Wizards	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	311	25.1%78 W · 233 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Wizards	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	277	31.4%87 W · 190 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards	2c	1,502$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.72	618	35.4%219 W · 399 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Wizards	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	380	27.1%103 W · 277 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16d3…d0cbbacked Wizards	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf865…5b3dbacked Wizards	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Wizards	11c	1,364$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	930	36.5%339 W · 591 L	-20.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Wizards	10c	1,250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	261	24.1%63 W · 198 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Wizards	11c	1,182$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	364	23.4%85 W · 279 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked Wizards	9c	1,112$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.07	96	25%24 W · 72 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Wizards	2c	1,062$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.06	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Wizards	4c	1,033$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.11	472	29.4%139 W · 333 L	-33.1wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Wizards	10c	1,020$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.01	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Wizards	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	1,090	35.8%390 W · 700 L	+40.1wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Wizards	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	169	28.4%48 W · 121 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Wizards	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	109	25.7%28 W · 81 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccd…62b5backed Wizards	11c	1,000$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Wizards	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	510	37.5%191 W · 319 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdac6…2905backed Wizards	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Wizards	1c	999.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Wizards	7c	980.11$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	195	35.4%69 W · 126 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea70…3c44backed Wizards	11c	936.36$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Wizards	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Wizards	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	161	29.8%48 W · 113 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Wizards	4c	906.36$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.88	679	11%75 W · 604 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Wizards	11c	800$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	283	41.7%118 W · 165 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Wizards	10c	600$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	364	34.9%127 W · 237 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Wizards	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	243	29.6%72 W · 171 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3d…82c7backed Wizards	10c	485.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	84	52.4%44 W · 40 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a31…ca79backed Wizards	4c	480$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Wizards	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	296	43.2%128 W · 168 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c53…1977backed Wizards	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80b8…dac9backed Wizards	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-58%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wizards	5c	450$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.67	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Wizards	6c	406.23$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.36	370	11.4%42 W · 328 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf901…51d3backed Wizards	12c	350$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68d9…f87fbacked Wizards	34c	300$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99ac…5e6ebacked Wizards	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	72	2.8%2 W · 70 L	-12.1wins	-0.17per pick	20cpaid	-85.8%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Wizards	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	235	55.3%130 W · 105 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x471d…4816backed Wizards	11c	240$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-40%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Wizards	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	718	23.3%167 W · 551 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd7…cb0bbacked Wizards	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-3.8wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f8d…a1e9backed Wizards	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	49	18.4%9 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Wizards	5c	221.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	260	40%104 W · 156 L	-7.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7cf…5e03backed Wizards	10c	217$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.7	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Wizards	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	99	40.4%40 W · 59 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a12…c455backed Wizards	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ba…d429backed Wizards	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7beb…b29dbacked Knicks	66c	180$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-3.6wins	-0.45per pick	58cpaid	-81.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Wizards	6c	173$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.38	734	45.5%334 W · 400 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x936d…9544backed Wizards	11c	159.82$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.58	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b0a…6b93backed Wizards	11c	158.82$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.47	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe106…e347backed Wizards	10c	155.8$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.58	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3f…63c7backed Wizards	10c	152.2$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.22	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x406b…a13bbacked Wizards	11c	141.91$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.61	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd334…fcc2backed Wizards	11c	136.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	247	25.9%64 W · 183 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6815…4293backed Wizards	11c	125.55$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.81	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0d…fd3fbacked Knicks	66c	120$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.8	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	47cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bca…be9fbacked Wizards	11c	106.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.67	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa58c…f568backed Wizards	10c	100.6$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.06	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Wizards	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…045fbacked Wizards	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Wizards	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	686	42.1%289 W · 397 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcf…5cb5backed Wizards	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf92…e512backed Wizards	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	197	46.2%91 W · 106 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Wizards	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Wizards	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	316	31.6%100 W · 216 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaef9…0b2bbacked Wizards	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+5.3wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcef6…4641backed Wizards	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	104	26%27 W · 77 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe634…7a95backed Wizards	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	78	37.2%29 W · 49 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbae…9874backed Wizards	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea08…279bbacked Wizards	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wizards vs. Knicks

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market