NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaab254e8f9a4590ed61c1800e32abc98a31a08fb4c3029c7ad92762b1e8be263
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $284,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Heat | 49c | 17,209$8,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,742.6 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 35c | 16,768$5,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,873.72 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Celtics | 9c | 15,341$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 18c | 15,297$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,563.71 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46a…5adbbacked Celtics | 78c | 15,277$11,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,983.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Celtics | 63c | 12,000$7,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,540 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 46c | 10,866$5,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,840.24 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Heat | 18c | 8,692$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,127.68 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Heat | 55c | 7,612$4,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,438.48 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Celtics | 53c | 7,000$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Heat | 16c | 6,500$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,429.84 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Celtics | 9c | 5,576$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Celtics | 39c | 5,042$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.98 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Celtics | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Heat | 18c | 4,818$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950.61 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Celtics | 54c | 4,456$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.12 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Celtics | 55c | 4,402$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.47 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Heat | 18c | 4,262$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.07 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 30c | 4,066$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.25 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Celtics | 70c | 3,395$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.37 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Heat | 27c | 3,333$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.08 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Celtics | 39c | 3,087$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.48 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Heat | 60c | 2,885$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.95 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Celtics | 25c | 2,581$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.32 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Celtics | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Celtics | 36c | 2,400$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.79 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Celtics | 39c | 2,340$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.9 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Heat | 50c | 2,278$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.82 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Heat | 18c | 2,202$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.5 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…2e12backed Heat | 18c | 1,997$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Celtics | 53c | 1,883$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Heat | 70c | 1,730$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.48 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Heat | 48c | 1,711$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.2 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Heat | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Celtics | 13c | 1,450$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.8 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Celtics | 67c | 1,430$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.68 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Celtics | 74c | 1,369$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.38 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Heat | 50c | 1,276$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.25 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Heat | 79c | 1,140$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.81 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2010…1fc9backed Heat | 64c | 1,097$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Celtics | 2c | 1,052$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Celtics | 58c | 1,050$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Celtics | 55c | 1,042$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.92 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Celtics | 43c | 1,013$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.86 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Celtics | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Heat | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…e5a8backed Heat | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +207.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Heat | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.99 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Celtics | 55c | 969.36$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.43 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…4e55backed Heat | 72c | 874$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.68 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 18c | 800$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014a…8aefbacked Heat | 18c | 790$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…3febbacked Celtics | 54c | 700$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.03 | 83 | 73.5%61 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Heat | 64c | 700$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5295…d666backed Celtics | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Celtics | 38c | 695.07$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.74 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 17c | 623.2$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.26 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Celtics | 35c | 620.72$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.17 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Heat | 54c | 608.82$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.04 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heat | 45c | 594.82$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.47 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Celtics | 51c | 563.15$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.68 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Celtics | 64c | 550$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.8 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…b813backed Heat | 19c | 541.05$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.25 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Heat | 19c | 530.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.41 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…7a95backed Celtics | 50c | 518.88$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 57c | 510.92$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.25 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Heat | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Celtics | 39c | 487.18$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc00e…d7c5backed Heat | 45c | 480.39$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Celtics | 57c | 463.04$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.8 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63e…e305backed Celtics | 46c | 435$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Heat | 74c | 406.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.09 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Celtics | 35c | 399.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e22…5bfbbacked Heat | 57c | 349.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 16c | 342.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.87 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92b…fa4dbacked Heat | 59c | 336.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Heat | 33c | 305.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.47 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…d7b7backed Heat | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Heat | 18c | 299.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.97 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd4…853dbacked Celtics | 64c | 298.5$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Celtics | 37c | 297.16$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Heat | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Celtics | 50c | 272.66$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.33 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Celtics | 37c | 270.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…2869backed Celtics | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Heat | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d6…25b8backed Celtics | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Heat | 76c | 262.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Heat | 59c | 260$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.9 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Heat | 17c | 249.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.68 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c56…dfa1backed Celtics | 52c | 243.72$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.77 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Heat | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…e5a9backed Heat | 18c | 219.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Heat | 65c | 219.27$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.74 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Heat | 17c | 210.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.55 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257f…12fcbacked Heat | 62c | 209.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Heat | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Heat | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Celtics | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e41…d5dcbacked Celtics | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.