NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Clippers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ce573ca45c7b7be2afb4a71f8a25bde841b5395c48f408c7958523d5c636dae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Pelicans, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 7c | 41,232$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.26 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Pelicans | 1c | 32,048$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.68 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans | 1c | 10,942$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.27 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans | 6c | 7,115$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.43 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Pelicans | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pelicans | 5c | 4,536$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pelicans | 7c | 4,442$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Pelicans | 8c | 3,977$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.22 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pelicans | 0c | 3,564$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Pelicans | 2c | 2,322$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Pelicans | 3c | 1,912$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Pelicans | 6c | 1,900$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.01 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Pelicans | 6c | 1,657$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Pelicans | 5c | 1,603$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Pelicans | 1c | 1,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pelicans | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…0655backed Pelicans | 8c | 1,332$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Pelicans | 1c | 1,200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Pelicans | 7c | 1,046$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Pelicans | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pelicans | 2c | 942.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Pelicans | 8c | 937.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Pelicans | 7c | 873.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…b61bbacked Pelicans | 3c | 834.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pelicans | 2c | 790.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pelicans | 7c | 774.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…a098backed Pelicans | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Pelicans | 3c | 684.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Pelicans | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Pelicans | 7c | 562.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…cb0bbacked Pelicans | 7c | 454$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pelicans | 7c | 410.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f2…32f5backed Pelicans | 3c | 408.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Pelicans | 6c | 401.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Pelicans | 7c | 353.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…3438backed Pelicans | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…8dbcbacked Pelicans | 5c | 270$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Pelicans | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf3…30dbbacked Pelicans | 5c | 222.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Pelicans | 6c | 217.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae6…bd16backed Pelicans | 8c | 146.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…c129backed Pelicans | 8c | 141.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Pelicans | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.