NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb48829bcbb578e8bb8958fb2ec6eaa87bd8eee111421c53d2db323c925d46642
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Raptors, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $638,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $701,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $638,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Raptors | 3c | 101,259$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.54 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Raptors | 20c | 35,612$7,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,241.11 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Raptors | 12c | 20,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 31c | 17,777$5,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,472.47 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Raptors | 11c | 13,200$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.99 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Raptors | 20c | 12,745$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Raptors | 12c | 11,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 12c | 10,862$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.43 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066d…e36ebacked Raptors | 12c | 10,089$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Raptors | 9c | 8,189$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Raptors | 14c | 6,517$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Raptors | 23c | 6,030$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.01 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 78c | 5,056$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.78 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Raptors | 12c | 5,030$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.25 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Raptors | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Raptors | 22c | 4,263$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.4 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Raptors | 18c | 4,092$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raptors | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Raptors | 13c | 3,077$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Raptors | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Raptors | 9c | 2,992$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.28 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Raptors | 12c | 2,749$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.5 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Raptors | 12c | 2,667$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Raptors | 13c | 2,631$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.34 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Raptors | 11c | 2,558$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.84 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…3ad5backed Raptors | 12c | 2,398$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.75 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Raptors | 13c | 2,391$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.55 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Raptors | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Raptors | 5c | 2,311$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Warriors | 66c | 2,200$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.99 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Warriors | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…7684backed Raptors | 21c | 1,985$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.38 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Warriors | 80c | 1,976$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.29 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe628…1595backed Raptors | 20c | 1,880$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.77 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Raptors | 9c | 1,860$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Raptors | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Raptors | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Raptors | 39c | 1,448$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.78 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…e34ebacked Raptors | 18c | 1,429$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Raptors | 11c | 1,347$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.35 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Raptors | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Raptors | 18c | 1,224$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.68 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Raptors | 16c | 1,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Raptors | 2c | 1,183$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Raptors | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Raptors | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Raptors | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.9 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Raptors | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Raptors | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Raptors | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Raptors | 12c | 999.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Raptors | 1c | 855.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…dc04backed Raptors | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Raptors | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Raptors | 12c | 825$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Warriors | 63c | 797.56$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.1 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Raptors | 13c | 775.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Raptors | 12c | 712.51$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Raptors | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Raptors | 12c | 700$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0766…3e65backed Warriors | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…cb0bbacked Raptors | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…8f6bbacked Warriors | 80c | 563.92$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.34 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…dc5dbacked Raptors | 5c | 530$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Raptors | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Raptors | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Warriors | 78c | 471.27$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Raptors | 23c | 439.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…3412backed Raptors | 12c | 433.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ed…44d5backed Raptors | 12c | 418.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Raptors | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92b…fa4dbacked Raptors | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac44…2468backed Raptors | 13c | 413.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Raptors | 12c | 408.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…62b5backed Raptors | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Raptors | 11c | 399.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Raptors | 13c | 392$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 174 | 64.9%113 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Raptors | 30c | 373.21$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…cc42backed Raptors | 12c | 361.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Raptors | 18c | 346.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Raptors | 12c | 341.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Raptors | 11c | 332$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…a3afbacked Raptors | 12c | 324.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Raptors | 13c | 310.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…2dfcbacked Raptors | 28c | 300$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Raptors | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Raptors | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…0b1fbacked Raptors | 12c | 291.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…e4e8backed Raptors | 11c | 286.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Raptors | 18c | 278.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Raptors | 12c | 270$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…26c6backed Raptors | 12c | 266.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raptors | 14c | 265.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1718…6d49backed Raptors | 15c | 260$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 19cpaid | +64%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e14…f3cebacked Raptors | 14c | 242.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Warriors | 72c | 241.1$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Raptors | 13c | 240$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…25b2backed Raptors | 12c | 238.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.