NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x679d75d06f9b46cd0ea53c46aed4040ef98f7d451df9259dac0eb90a1fdde9c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Bruins, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77be…b0fdbacked Golden Knights | 70c | 9,989$6,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,996.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…814bbacked Bruins | 30c | 9,979$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Bruins | 26c | 3,105$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.19 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Golden Knights | 74c | 2,805$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.19 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Bruins | 28c | 1,828$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.73 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bruins | 7c | 1,622$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.52 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Bruins | 29c | 1,047$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.71 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights | 71c | 1,040$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.9 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Golden Knights | 71c | 1,005$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.45 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bruins | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Golden Knights | 72c | 958.99$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.52 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Bruins | 28c | 811.01$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.08 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Golden Knights | 72c | 732.64$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.14 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights | 69c | 593.12$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.79 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Bruins | 27c | 349.95$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bruins | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Bruins | 30c | 337$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bruins | 29c | 304.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.46 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Golden Knights | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Golden Knights | 72c | 294.52$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bruins | 28c | 294.31$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Golden Knights | 71c | 280$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bruins | 18c | 248.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed Golden Knights | 73c | 246.58$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…67efbacked Bruins | 6c | 240$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Golden Knights | 71c | 235.92$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked Bruins | 12c | 235.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Bruins | 29c | 205$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…5ddcbacked Bruins | 30c | 203.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…3438backed Bruins | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Golden Knights | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…7b43backed Bruins | 30c | 183.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f67…e028backed Golden Knights | 72c | 173.94$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…9785backed Bruins | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bruins | 14c | 163.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bruins | 31c | 161.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Golden Knights | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…913ebacked Golden Knights | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Bruins | 29c | 118$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Bruins | 29c | 113$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0375…b9f2backed Golden Knights | 70c | 106.42$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…4617backed Bruins | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Golden Knights | 71c | 101.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Golden Knights | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Golden Knights | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Golden Knights | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Golden Knights | 70c | 84.08$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Bruins | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…0b87backed Golden Knights | 70c | 78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bruins | 15c | 73.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Bruins | 30c | 72.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…7c50backed Golden Knights | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Golden Knights | 73c | 65.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Bruins | 27c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd88f…8d2cbacked Bruins | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Bruins | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Golden Knights | 73c | 55.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked Golden Knights | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…73e2backed Golden Knights | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Bruins | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Golden Knights | 72c | 52.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…cb0bbacked Golden Knights | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Bruins | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b9…5c5cbacked Bruins | 30c | 46.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ee…8eeabacked Golden Knights | 71c | 46.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…bc71backed Golden Knights | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Golden Knights | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb62a…1233backed Bruins | 30c | 41.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Bruins | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Golden Knights | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…cbb5backed Golden Knights | 71c | 36.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Golden Knights | 71c | 34.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Bruins | 32c | 33.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…1d9bbacked Golden Knights | 72c | 31.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…86c9backed Golden Knights | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Golden Knights | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…2154backed Golden Knights | 72c | 25.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9237…1894backed Golden Knights | 72c | 21.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3533…6741backed Golden Knights | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb728…91ecbacked Golden Knights | 72c | 18.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…06bebacked Golden Knights | 72c | 15.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.