TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Robert Morris vs. Alabama

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alabamaof Robert Morris, Alabama
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$185,894
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,383

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,894 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Robert Morris2c31,227$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.988644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Robert Morris5c9,259$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500100%0 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda31…8e56backed Robert Morris4c8,500$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3578138.3%31 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Robert Morris4c7,341$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Robert Morris4c5,000$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2059641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Robert Morris0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-88.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Robert Morris5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25039144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Robert Morris8c3,194$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.325527.3%15 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8d…a1e9backed Robert Morris4c3,122$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Robert Morris4c2,255$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8257448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a7c…f1a6backed Robert Morris5c2,180$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Robert Morris5c2,041$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002030%6 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4116…779dbacked Robert Morris3c1,933$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.551118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Robert Morris4c1,810$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765337.7%20 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Robert Morris4c1,698$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.818151.9%42 W · 39 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Robert Morris11c1,480$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3510335.9%37 W · 66 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Robert Morris6c1,329$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.736953.6%37 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Robert Morris3c942.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.859833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2c13…7ab3backed Robert Morris8c847.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7060%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Robert Morris4c807.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2942948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…fc02backed Robert Morris3c768.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.63351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb67…970abacked Robert Morris15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Robert Morris3c634.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.777936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Robert Morris4c557.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203923.1%9 W · 30 L-8.7wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-65.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xad93…c030backed Robert Morris4c555.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Robert Morris5c504.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.776440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Robert Morris4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Robert Morris8c500$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.21127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f21…62efbacked Robert Morris7c500$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Robert Morris5c499.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd7…cb0bbacked Robert Morris4c448.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-52.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Robert Morris3c433$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.993231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f0…97bbbacked Robert Morris3c409.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-77%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f2…0875backed Robert Morris4c366$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+111.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ee3…5c79backed Robert Morris4c303$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Robert Morris4c299.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed7…8ad2backed Robert Morris4c293$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Robert Morris7c289.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a0a…5c53backed Robert Morris5c266$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb229…c1d5backed Robert Morris4c259$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41dd…dc2cbacked Robert Morris4c258$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.43633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c17…d5a1backed Robert Morris4c250.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x439d…3e06backed Robert Morris15c240$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.771442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdc0…5d81backed Robert Morris5c231.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb956…c475backed Robert Morris5c207.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-73.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Robert Morris22c202.86$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Robert Morris5c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef41…5080backed Robert Morris9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Robert Morris9c199$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4515442.9%66 W · 88 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcb…725abacked Robert Morris7c150$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1060%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Robert Morris25c144.92$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.231560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Robert Morris13c100.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0130649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Robert Morris18c97.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181363.7%5 W · 131 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.