Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Troy vs. Kentucky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfea60543cdee0017a9646439f67b0aac5c5d8c9ed44c15a53930ccac96968876
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kentuckyof Troy, Kentucky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Troy | 18c | 5,567$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Troy | 8c | 5,504$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.65 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Troy | 15c | 4,495$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.21 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Troy | 15c | 4,477$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.54 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Troy | 18c | 3,299$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.68 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Troy | 12c | 1,593$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.37 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Troy | 16c | 1,555$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Troy | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Troy | 15c | 894.67$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…c557backed Troy | 15c | 733.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…7741backed Troy | 14c | 714.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Troy | 14c | 714.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Troy | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Troy | 15c | 401$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Troy | 15c | 389.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked Troy | 16c | 246.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62b2…85d5backed Troy | 13c | 243.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcddf…5967backed Troy | 15c | 234.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…8a79backed Troy | 16c | 206.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…5b0ebacked Troy | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Troy | 7c | 171.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…9d9bbacked Troy | 15c | 130.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Troy | 14c | 116.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5917…7c54backed Troy | 11c | 110.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…cb0bbacked Troy | 15c | 100.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Troy | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba40…b7b7backed Troy | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Troy | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Troy | 14c | 99.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…ef36backed Troy | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.