MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f334cebbbee5b41881977dcc0f09315ff4f888c39397fe83a6f4741f23b5973
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Rays, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Mets | 60c | 20,909$12,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,545.64 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rays | 40c | 15,645$6,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,386.92 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea13…f4c1backed Mets | 60c | 9,995$5,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,997 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…25cabacked Rays | 40c | 9,995$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,997 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rays | 42c | 6,824$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,957.66 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mets | 4c | 6,410$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.78 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rays | 37c | 3,050$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 22c | 2,860$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.1 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Mets | 63c | 2,446$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.86 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Mets | 59c | 2,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Mets | 7c | 1,038$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rays | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mets | 59c | 999.97$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.98 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mets | 4c | 914.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rays | 41c | 793.99$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.46 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Rays | 77c | 670.32$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mets | 3c | 573.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Mets | 2c | 569.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mets | 58c | 470.16$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.69 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mets | 57c | 439.5$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.52 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 40c | 432.3$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.38 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Rays | 40c | 428.58$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.15 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Mets | 59c | 420.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.38 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Rays | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mets | 59c | 399.96$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.97 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Mets | 29c | 372.79$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Mets | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rays | 41c | 298.08$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.87 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mets | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rays | 39c | 223.02$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.04 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Mets | 40c | 222.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Rays | 74c | 219.72$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets | 61c | 164.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 61c | 163.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Rays | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mets | 59c | 120.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Rays | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Mets | 41c | 104.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Mets | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rays | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Rays | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Rays | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rays | 41c | 94.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…cb0bbacked Mets | 61c | 83.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 40c | 79.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mets | 14c | 78.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 71c | 70.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Mets | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Mets | 60c | 65.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Mets | 57c | 61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe5…d035backed Rays | 41c | 57.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0201…3db0backed Mets | 59c | 56.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9edb…7959backed Rays | 42c | 52.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Mets | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Rays | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1523…7c69backed Mets | 60c | 49.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…3857backed Rays | 41c | 49.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rays | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Mets | 46c | 43.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1e…e135backed Mets | 60c | 41.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Mets | 59c | 40.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Mets | 60c | 38.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Mets | 42c | 35.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Mets | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0558…6cbabacked Mets | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rays | 41c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…beafbacked Rays | 40c | 32.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked Mets | 59c | 32.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rays | 41c | 31.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…adf4backed Rays | 42c | 29.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Rays | 41c | 28.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78d…e9c7backed Rays | 42c | 26.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3237backed Rays | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Mets | 56c | 24.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Mets | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mets | 55c | 23.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac1…b28bbacked Mets | 60c | 23.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Mets | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…c92bbacked Mets | 60c | 19.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.