Tennis · resolved market
Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Damir Dzumhur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31ce360fe2f96812c00a7c767aaecb9c96411bdb7cb8f6779b2f07d88472ca1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Damir Dzumhurof Mikhail Kukushkin, Damir Dzumhur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 1c | 5,055$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 28c | 1,975$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.57 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 30c | 1,357$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.58 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…9cb2backed Damir Dzumhur | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Damir Dzumhur | 47c | 778.44$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.2 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Mikhail Kukushkin | 17c | 500$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 54c | 452.52$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.14 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 54c | 429.63$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Damir Dzumhur | 75c | 407.06$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Damir Dzumhur | 47c | 341.46$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.55 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Damir Dzumhur | 47c | 337.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.15 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 52c | 315.71$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Damir Dzumhur | 35c | 313.2$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.53 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…e889backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 54c | 298.19$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.02 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Damir Dzumhur | 47c | 275.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.56 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Damir Dzumhur | 46c | 243.85$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.99 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mikhail Kukushkin | 50c | 226.35$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 4c | 222.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 39c | 185.57$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 30c | 174.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 24c | 158.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Damir Dzumhur | 46c | 140.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…1af5backed Damir Dzumhur | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 226 | 47.8%108 W · 118 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Mikhail Kukushkin | 24c | 137.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Damir Dzumhur | 79c | 127.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Mikhail Kukushkin | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Damir Dzumhur | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Damir Dzumhur | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 53c | 113.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 53c | 106.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Damir Dzumhur | 71c | 101.8$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Mikhail Kukushkin | 54c | 101.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 31c | 92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Damir Dzumhur | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Damir Dzumhur | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 53c | 85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Damir Dzumhur | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 46c | 79.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Mikhail Kukushkin | 54c | 65.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Damir Dzumhur | 50c | 63.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Damir Dzumhur | 45c | 44.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Damir Dzumhur | 47c | 39.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 67c | 37.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -40.4wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Damir Dzumhur | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 53c | 34.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…0e8cbacked Damir Dzumhur | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Damir Dzumhur | 50c | 31.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 53c | 30.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Mikhail Kukushkin | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Mikhail Kukushkin | 66c | 27.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Damir Dzumhur | 46c | 27.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…00a9backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 40c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Mikhail Kukushkin | 52c | 24.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Mikhail Kukushkin | 52c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.