TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Thunder, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,131
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,174

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,131 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Thunder67c25,777$17,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,486.9247656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee5f…9a8bbacked Clippers53c11,018$5,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,855.02933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Clippers39c9,928$3,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,874.6965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Thunder57c6,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6007549.3%37 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb228…2734backed Clippers29c5,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4702520%5 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-48.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Thunder57c4,577$2,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.5836748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…2032backed Thunder69c3,097$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.943630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Thunder80c2,904$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.0770147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Clippers35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Clippers15c2,771$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.2611332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d0…c092backed Clippers44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1003531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Clippers36c2,185$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7861,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Thunder55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90026547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8af…f391backed Clippers33c1,970$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.11464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xceab…bbfabacked Thunder67c1,970$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.081861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Thunder58c1,712$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.0161532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed Thunder71c1,597$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.143745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Thunder55c1,474$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.4627939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b9…f457backed Clippers52c1,459$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.943540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xffb8…8027backed Clippers35c1,449$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.251656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcef8…1f8dbacked Clippers9c1,340$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.85714%8 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b94…8183backed Clippers48c1,306$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.851747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x606f…b3b5backed Thunder42c1,200$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6964436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Clippers7c1,150$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.51,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Clippers30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Thunder67c893.83$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.889248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c4b…f1e6backed Thunder76c832.21$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.375856.9%33 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x737e…8e9bbacked Thunder50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x641f…ab52backed Thunder54c798.22$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf65e…3850backed Clippers34c771.61$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.3324336.2%88 W · 155 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Clippers27c743.23$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.7216443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Clippers53c721.39$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.1419137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Clippers28c642.56$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.7614847.3%70 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeae…821ebacked Clippers35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Thunder41c523.63$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.9422430.8%69 W · 155 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Clippers32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1608436.9%31 W · 53 L-10.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Thunder54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2303658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98ec…7cd3backed Thunder68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d46…3bffbacked Clippers19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954922.4%11 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ee…ae97backed Clippers35c448.57$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1574837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Clippers38c440$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.518316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Thunder67c439.42$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0113857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…095cbacked Clippers35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe0e…68e6backed Thunder68c370$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder60c349.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.51,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Thunder47c343.54$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.548347%39 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d4…f59bbacked Thunder40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-62%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8369…3c94backed Thunder44c247.92$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.926547.7%31 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd0a…63abbacked Clippers40c227.37$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.644434.1%15 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7439…40d2backed Thunder55c218.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1724844%109 W · 139 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Thunder54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Thunder68c199.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6418437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Thunder61c196.41$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.614852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Clippers51c195.09$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9953134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f8…5660backed Clippers13c180$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5910440.4%42 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa6…16f9backed Thunder69c150$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475459.3%32 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d6…3fc8backed Clippers33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-53.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Clippers30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4517846.1%82 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x565b…fa9bbacked Thunder68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.065358.5%31 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Thunder68c144.16$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1627163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c5…0544backed Clippers34c144$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.962540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Clippers35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010441.3%43 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Thunder69c141.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5215149%74 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x624f…2fa6backed Clippers30c103.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.025536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Clippers32c100.26$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8877437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Thunder44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5623835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39c…0498backed Thunder70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3013756.2%77 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb5e2…e2ebbacked Thunder44c94.77$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.071553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17de…90b0backed Clippers36c86.22$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab74…3996backed Thunder51c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ae5…3113backed Thunder69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4623359.7%139 W · 94 L+0.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bdd…bbb8backed Thunder69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.465750.9%29 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Clippers35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258537.6%32 W · 53 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x242f…286ebacked Thunder54c61.95$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Thunder43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.219939.2%78 W · 121 L-17.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf319…1d1abacked Thunder50c59.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.941145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3cb5…14b1backed Clippers34c58.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203935.9%14 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea0b…1f5bbacked Thunder63c57.86$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.342268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…7aa4backed Thunder68c54.75$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.522060%12 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Clippers30c53.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4172341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Thunder49c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5258754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd59f…33e8backed Thunder44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.452339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x879b…9cb2backed Thunder64c43.77$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.761136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68f2…658dbacked Thunder68c42.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.361145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff76…5163backed Thunder48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd09…4198backed Thunder69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.45862.1%36 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba19…0f73backed Clippers33c37.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.436350.8%32 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8024…ba91backed Thunder67c35.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5510954.1%59 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…3136backed Thunder58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x893e…a75bbacked Thunder45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.331250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f2…8d23backed Thunder80c32.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.536139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fc…f344backed Clippers32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-50.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5138…1d4dbacked Clippers35c30.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.589645.8%44 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Thunder66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.214129.1%41 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b16…9bc6backed Thunder66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.24247.6%20 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2190…36babacked Thunder67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1872…1962backed Thunder67c29.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.859154.9%50 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9bb…00c4backed Thunder68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+84.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e01…757abacked Thunder50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ac…f26dbacked Thunder50c23.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.