MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbd0b446357e21184553c5745f3151f3f05b6a0c64e4c7a77b328e4ce91d81be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Samsung Lions, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 7,913$3,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825.74 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Samsung Lions | 44c | 5,799$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,219.35 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…9d39backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 2,976$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.7 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0c…5dcdbacked Doosan Bears | 65c | 1,538$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Doosan Bears | 46c | 518.58$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…8666backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 433$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.36 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 315.39$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.13 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Doosan Bears | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 275.13$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.56 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Samsung Lions | 77c | 264$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 259.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Doosan Bears | 30c | 246.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 190.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Samsung Lions | 54c | 165.55$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…d171backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 119$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 96.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Doosan Bears | 47c | 92.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Samsung Lions | 45c | 82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +11.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Samsung Lions | 45c | 62.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Doosan Bears | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Doosan Bears | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 53.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 45.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…9ec4backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 45.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Samsung Lions | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 43.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe372…2d51backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 42.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…9c83backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…7665backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Doosan Bears | 42c | 32.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Doosan Bears | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Samsung Lions | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Doosan Bears | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 27.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 26.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked Doosan Bears | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 24.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 23.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Samsung Lions | 52c | 23.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860c…418dbacked Doosan Bears | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.