MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e6e2e08fc42616ed6874c4be1651d6f6a80212fcc6d506f8796b2fd1fcd10c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof SSG Landers, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked SSG Landers | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 858.29$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.23 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 651.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed SSG Landers | 55c | 599.98$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.61 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 453.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed SSG Landers | 56c | 319.92$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.88 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…9d39backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 226.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Lotte Giants | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Lotte Giants | 46c | 139.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed SSG Landers | 56c | 138.95$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SSG Landers | 54c | 121.54$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…0cbfbacked Lotte Giants | 46c | 108.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…437fbacked SSG Landers | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed SSG Landers | 55c | 103.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked SSG Landers | 73c | 103.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +11.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 101.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed SSG Landers | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 98.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Lotte Giants | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 731 | 43.4%317 W · 414 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…5fecbacked SSG Landers | 56c | 71.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 67.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed SSG Landers | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed SSG Landers | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed SSG Landers | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 42.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…83f7backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 34.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…30f7backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 33.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked SSG Landers | 56c | 29.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed SSG Landers | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SSG Landers | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…ff03backed SSG Landers | 50c | 23.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…6409backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 23.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed SSG Landers | 55c | 21.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb62…0823backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 21.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd05…4140backed SSG Landers | 50c | 21.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4c…6f00backed SSG Landers | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e8…0d58backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked SSG Landers | 57c | 20.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SSG Landers | 52c | 19.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9e39backed SSG Landers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.