MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x377ba0239f92e807ac54c9ade5c533f6c299d2f4ae5a238306a9698045930a55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof SSG Landers, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3572…9d39backed SSG Landers | 52c | 1,926$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.39 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 1,874$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.73 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…8666backed SSG Landers | 75c | 1,059$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.66 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 304.54$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.45 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SSG Landers | 40c | 300$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.15 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lotte Giants | 60c | 229.23$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.76 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Lotte Giants | 32c | 189.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed SSG Landers | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked SSG Landers | 68c | 173.01$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Lotte Giants | 16c | 134.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lotte Giants | 18c | 95.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed SSG Landers | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…0cbfbacked Lotte Giants | 63c | 79.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 41c | 72.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Lotte Giants | 57c | 69.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed SSG Landers | 42c | 68.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed SSG Landers | 44c | 58.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked SSG Landers | 75c | 54.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed SSG Landers | 74c | 54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Lotte Giants | 56c | 49.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SSG Landers | 40c | 44.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Lotte Giants | 55c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed SSG Landers | 38c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed SSG Landers | 40c | 42.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…667dbacked SSG Landers | 37c | 40.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lotte Giants | 46c | 39.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed SSG Landers | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Lotte Giants | 59c | 30.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…3288backed Lotte Giants | 57c | 25.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed SSG Landers | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Lotte Giants | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a902backed SSG Landers | 50c | 24.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +75%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…cc55backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 24.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9e39backed Lotte Giants | 62c | 24.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…30f7backed Lotte Giants | 61c | 24.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…4763backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 23.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…f807backed SSG Landers | 50c | 23.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…4576backed Lotte Giants | 62c | 22.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…8e1ebacked SSG Landers | 50c | 20.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6585…1f0abacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 20.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 50cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Lotte Giants | 62c | 19.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.