MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd27d90954a184a2b25be36c8f8fa48f83ad0d27ab871e8a9ff4de9232d472aa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof NC Dinos, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked NC Dinos | 42c | 1,163$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.69 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…8666backed NC Dinos | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.51 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed LG Twins | 60c | 1,063$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.86 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 50c | 818.74$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed LG Twins | 65c | 501.73$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.08 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LG Twins | 38c | 367.91$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.92 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed NC Dinos | 35c | 349.06$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.89 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed NC Dinos | 37c | 319.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.2 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed LG Twins | 67c | 300.32$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.22 | 389 | 56.8%221 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked NC Dinos | 53c | 290.36$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.6 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked NC Dinos | 66c | 286$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked LG Twins | 36c | 266.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +11.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed LG Twins | 34c | 260.96$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NC Dinos | 78c | 236.34$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…5fecbacked NC Dinos | 36c | 205.07$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 46c | 203.61$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked LG Twins | 34c | 201.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 1,013 | 50.3%510 W · 503 L | +51.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…9d39backed NC Dinos | 51c | 196.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked NC Dinos | 38c | 176.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.42 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 34c | 169.11$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.05 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked LG Twins | 8c | 167.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked LG Twins | 21c | 163.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LG Twins | 50c | 158$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed NC Dinos | 62c | 151.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked NC Dinos | 48c | 148.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NC Dinos | 76c | 112$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…7205backed LG Twins | 50c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed NC Dinos | 56c | 108$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…63d4backed NC Dinos | 35c | 103.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed NC Dinos | 36c | 101.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.31 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…60f0backed LG Twins | 33c | 90.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed NC Dinos | 37c | 87.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed NC Dinos | 35c | 83.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked LG Twins | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked LG Twins | 64c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed NC Dinos | 60c | 66.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LG Twins | 41c | 65.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked LG Twins | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked NC Dinos | 36c | 65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked LG Twins | 66c | 61.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed LG Twins | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed NC Dinos | 77c | 59.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a2…7886backed LG Twins | 67c | 56.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…96b8backed NC Dinos | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked LG Twins | 65c | 55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked LG Twins | 32c | 53.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed LG Twins | 55c | 51.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 779 | 52.1%406 W · 373 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 65c | 50.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…511cbacked LG Twins | 66c | 45.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked LG Twins | 64c | 42.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LG Twins | 43c | 41.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed LG Twins | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed LG Twins | 80c | 32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…a334backed NC Dinos | 59c | 31.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed NC Dinos | 35c | 30.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed LG Twins | 65c | 29.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked NC Dinos | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked LG Twins | 67c | 28.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed LG Twins | 65c | 27.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…7475backed LG Twins | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…072dbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef0a…01a2backed LG Twins | 50c | 23.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…5a6bbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 23.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…bf3bbacked LG Twins | 50c | 22.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecc1…e2a8backed NC Dinos | 50c | 22.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked LG Twins | 66c | 21.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.