MLB · resolved market
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aad53de5e26101769c1f0cf52bf97f2989f883817461c612045ec87ea5e1e88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Hanwha Eagles, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hanwha Eagles | 19c | 5,413$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.16 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hanwha Eagles | 56c | 3,520$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.73 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…9d39backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 3,088$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.06 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2569…5d2dbacked Hanwha Eagles | 9c | 857.88$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Doosan Bears | 47c | 721.85$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.85 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Doosan Bears | 79c | 588$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.63 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Hanwha Eagles | 4c | 523$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Hanwha Eagles | 58c | 396.55$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 340$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 217.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.56 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Doosan Bears | 63c | 148.83$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Hanwha Eagles | 57c | 142.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d6…5c3abacked Doosan Bears | 45c | 107.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Hanwha Eagles | 26c | 94.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Hanwha Eagles | 27c | 94.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…3f9fbacked Hanwha Eagles | 26c | 84.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Hanwha Eagles | 60c | 79.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…cdc5backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 36.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Hanwha Eagles | 57c | 28.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed6b…7215backed Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 24.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…0ef6backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 24.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa01f…f4a3backed Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…2baabacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Doosan Bears | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Hanwha Eagles | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Doosan Bears | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.