MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x696af91c242702fb130224f0afcf3fc3f08c105fbe03923cba7ecd2811aa34de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Kiwoom Heroes, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3686…ce81backed Kiwoom Heroes | 14c | 2,899$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…9d39backed Kia Tigers | 69c | 1,624$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.4 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 17c | 1,158$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.61 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +11.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…8666backed Kiwoom Heroes | 10c | 1,020$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 11c | 819.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 760.85$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.82 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kiwoom Heroes | 11c | 604.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09bc…df12backed Kia Tigers | 66c | 489.71$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.31 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 11c | 482.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 11c | 351$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Kiwoom Heroes | 11c | 305$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 160 | 57.5%92 W · 68 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 303.89$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.31 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Kiwoom Heroes | 23c | 302.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 291.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.56 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 291.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 290.6$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.39 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Kia Tigers | 67c | 280$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 12c | 248.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Kia Tigers | 67c | 225.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kia Tigers | 55c | 212$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 23c | 199.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 24c | 170.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ae…76c6backed Kiwoom Heroes | 12c | 118$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Kia Tigers | 65c | 84.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…1359backed Kia Tigers | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 73.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Kiwoom Heroes | 18c | 64.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.62per pick | 23cpaid | +285.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Kia Tigers | 62c | 63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Kiwoom Heroes | 18c | 62.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 22cpaid | +233.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Kia Tigers | 66c | 36.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 30.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…7665backed Kia Tigers | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.