MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7348b3049be4850c7d14f2f0cbd9a9552b636d5d6b2f5068c1cde71a67dbf6c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kiwoom Heroesof Samsung Lions, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3572…9d39backed Samsung Lions | 44c | 4,819$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.39 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 1c | 1,752$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 1,527$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.39 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 53c | 1,298$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.27 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 59c | 1,250$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.03 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 932.79$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.37 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kiwoom Heroes | 58c | 912.98$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.56 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Kiwoom Heroes | 48c | 800$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.19 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 701.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.63 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Kiwoom Heroes | 55c | 652$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.27 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 651.99$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.59 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 52c | 538.41$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.17 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 481.75$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.88 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 476.48$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.81 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…fd61backed Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 383.88$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 78c | 350$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 347.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…646dbacked Samsung Lions | 21c | 299.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Kiwoom Heroes | 47c | 280.1$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.46 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…83f7backed Samsung Lions | 44c | 267.57$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.42 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 265.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 65c | 260.22$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 255.61$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.59 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 251.25$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.89 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 48c | 201.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.56 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 189.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Kiwoom Heroes | 73c | 151$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 131$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 121.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 61c | 118.87$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 273 | 52%142 W · 131 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 108.54$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Samsung Lions | 52c | 108.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 65c | 98.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 556 | 58.1%323 W · 233 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 98.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 95.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Kiwoom Heroes | 66c | 82.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 362 | 68%246 W · 116 L | +34.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 80.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…5fecbacked Samsung Lions | 43c | 78.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 74.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…4486backed Samsung Lions | 28c | 72.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Samsung Lions | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 60.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked Samsung Lions | 53c | 59.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 55.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 589 | 38.9%229 W · 360 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Kiwoom Heroes | 65c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Samsung Lions | 26c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 45.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…96b8backed Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 44.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Samsung Lions | 57c | 44.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kiwoom Heroes | 47c | 40.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…9c83backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kiwoom Heroes | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kiwoom Heroes | 46c | 26.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…cca3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 25.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cd…b654backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 25.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…4576backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 24.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 473 | 46.5%220 W · 253 L | +25.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…3f05backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 23.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x417c…c0cbbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 23.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Samsung Lions | 56c | 20.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +11.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 69c | 15.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.