MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10a3732cba02a69e466314f3a114684571613c1b4f36c3f3b7e9681ef5e87196
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Miami Marlins, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 25c | 19,120$4,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,708.22 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 17,447$8,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,025.56 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 11,378$6,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,134.85 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Miami Marlins | 8c | 10,449$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.51 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 8,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.98 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 7,453$4,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.46 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 5,983$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.13 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 6c | 4,736$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.67 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 3,907$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.29 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 3,854$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.81 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 3,802$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.78 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 3,487$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.85 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 3,364$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.27 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 3,260$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.59 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 2,981$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.27 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 2,766$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 2,634$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.09 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 2,507$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.29 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 2,407$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.41 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 2,100$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 1,936$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.07 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,910$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.4 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Miami Marlins | 9c | 1,842$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.44 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe372…2d51backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 1,636$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.36 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,581$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.03 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 1,465$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.65 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Miami Marlins | 6c | 1,400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,282$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.54 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Miami Marlins | 7c | 1,155$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Miami Marlins | 7c | 1,014$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 925$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.5 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 870$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami Marlins | 6c | 705.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 7c | 691.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 9c | 629.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…9654backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 625$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 547$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.09 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Miami Marlins | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 469.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Miami Marlins | 15c | 463.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…69aabacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 461.11$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.11 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 453$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.91 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 448.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 10c | 448.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Miami Marlins | 6c | 443.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 410.47$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 390.73$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.64 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 390$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.69 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 363.63$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.27 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 361$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.89 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721e…3439backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 357.14$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 350.87$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 14c | 342.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Miami Marlins | 3c | 320.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 318.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb191…28e0backed Miami Marlins | 6c | 299.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Atlanta Braves | 76c | 288.58$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…38bfbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 286$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…97c2backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 262.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…0500backed Miami Marlins | 4c | 245.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 242.58$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.35 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 232.46$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.61 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Miami Marlins | 4c | 229.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 209.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 204$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa6…2e8cbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 193.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 183.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 183.21$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa871…3932backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 177.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 170.48$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 167.61$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 163.83$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 140 | 64.3%90 W · 50 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 157$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 157$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 155.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.