MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c4e15ebe8af9a4050fbf666791eae04c968f3c7ed864975e815020b00ed102e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $290,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $291,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 49c | 204,081$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,999.69 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 51c | 134,570$68,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,939.34 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 51c | 80,000$40,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,199.97 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 51,518$24,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,871.41 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 25,905$13,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,472.58 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 52c | 17,052$8,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,184.96 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 8,147$4,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,067.47 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 50c | 4,800$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 49c | 2,857$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 48c | 2,600$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 52c | 1,874$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.51 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 58c | 1,793$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.95 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 1,761$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 1,607$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.15 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 47c | 1,219$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.04 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Under | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 53c | 1,176$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.94 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 899.97$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 868.58$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.18 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 52c | 734.96$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.78 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 48c | 654.11$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.54 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 49c | 501$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.07 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 44c | 479.08$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.42 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 50c | 461.46$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.73 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…7df6backed Over | 57c | 438$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 52c | 422.69$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.87 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 49c | 400$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 392.48$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.3 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 49c | 391.4$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.79 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 51c | 375.38$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.18 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 48c | 354.44$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.31 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 50c | 339$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.5 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 52c | 288.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 52c | 211.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 48c | 210.34$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.96 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Under | 52c | 188.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 47c | 164.17$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 52c | 163.46$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Under | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 52c | 118.27$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…1306backed Over | 49c | 108.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…846bbacked Under | 62c | 104.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 48c | 92.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 52c | 86.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 49c | 85.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 50c | 80.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 62c | 79.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Under | 56c | 70.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 206 | 57.8%119 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 48c | 68.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 67.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Over | 49c | 59.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Under | 52c | 50.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 49c | 50.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2a…68fcbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 53c | 45.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 28c | 40.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 52c | 37.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 47c | 35.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 51c | 33.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…f338backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Over | 41c | 29.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3353backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Under | 52c | 28.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Under | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 50c | 27.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 48c | 23.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…aa71backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 52c | 19.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.