MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x955b16d7aa961da4bd78ef89d8a2652c291452ff57335816f97f2eb8c296f350
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Atlanta Braves, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 5,523$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.32 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…2f33backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 5,147$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.28 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 4,586$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.96 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets | 64c | 4,000$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 64c | 3,570$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.78 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Mets | 63c | 2,626$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.33 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets | 61c | 2,076$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.19 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 63c | 1,696$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.42 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 1,428$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.66 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 62c | 1,237$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.07 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 64c | 1,184$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.35 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Atlanta Braves | 36c | 1,109$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets | 61c | 1,000$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.26 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Mets | 64c | 941.25$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.85 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 705$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.9 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 520$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets | 66c | 432.39$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed New York Mets | 61c | 430.33$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.83 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed New York Mets | 64c | 355.1$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.84 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed New York Mets | 61c | 345.53$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.05 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974d…bd82backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 222.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed New York Mets | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Atlanta Braves | 21c | 177.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed New York Mets | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x872b…a9c3backed New York Mets | 65c | 137.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Mets | 62c | 133.97$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…6d74backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 113.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Atlanta Braves | 25c | 112.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Atlanta Braves | 26c | 109$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 573 | 46.9%269 W · 304 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed New York Mets | 64c | 90.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed New York Mets | 61c | 82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed New York Mets | 64c | 77.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked New York Mets | 68c | 69.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked New York Mets | 65c | 69.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d7…b8cfbacked New York Mets | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed New York Mets | 62c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed New York Mets | 65c | 42.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Mets | 64c | 38.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Atlanta Braves | 35c | 37.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 906 | 69.9%633 W · 273 L | +94.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe10d…5d2bbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 37.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets | 78c | 36.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 62c | 35.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 30.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked New York Mets | 68c | 26.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 208 | 52.9%110 W · 98 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed New York Mets | 64c | 22.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 71c | 19.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York MetsNew York Mets won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.