Tennis · resolved market
ITF Slovenska Bistrica: Lucio Ratti vs Denis Petak
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e193d1cf295811e8bf0bc079ae48817a732ca8509fef4b5063370384fe98f85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucio Rattiof Lucio Ratti, Denis Petak
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Lucio Ratti | 68c | 3,859$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.7 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Denis Petak | 34c | 1,048$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.82 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Denis Petak | 32c | 965.21$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.56 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Denis Petak | 29c | 623$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.67 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Denis Petak | 19c | 547.26$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Denis Petak | 22c | 435.58$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Lucio Ratti | 40c | 240$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.49 | 523 | 41.5%217 W · 306 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Denis Petak | 38c | 227.14$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.52 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Denis Petak | 24c | 223.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Denis Petak | 33c | 160.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…694fbacked Lucio Ratti | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Denis Petak | 33c | 129$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Lucio Ratti | 35c | 115.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Lucio Ratti | 80c | 110.26$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Denis Petak | 20c | 100.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Denis Petak | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Denis Petak | 65c | 94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Denis Petak | 41c | 80.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Denis Petak | 64c | 77.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…bf0dbacked Denis Petak | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 168 | 73.8%124 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Denis Petak | 66c | 66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Denis Petak | 19c | 65.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1112…90dbbacked Lucio Ratti | 48c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Lucio Ratti | 28c | 55.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Denis Petak | 34c | 52.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Denis Petak | 63c | 52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Denis Petak | 62c | 51.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Denis Petak | 50c | 47.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Lucio Ratti | 31c | 41.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lucio Ratti | 29c | 41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Denis Petak | 62c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Lucio Ratti | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…d6a5backed Lucio Ratti | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Lucio Ratti | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Denis Petak | 50c | 23.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Denis Petak | 51c | 21.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Lucio Ratti | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Denis Petak | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Lucio Ratti | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Lucio Ratti | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…6684backed Denis Petak | 66c | 17.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.