MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4cec21d247dadcdcd33925a9c84e9d19019ce21ec746e15b2962479d1a4a9b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Padres, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Nationals | 43c | 18,877$8,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,760.11 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Padres | 57c | 14,975$8,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,535.74 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 61c | 5,515$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.58 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 37c | 3,821$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.86 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 45c | 3,014$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.78 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Nationals | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.98 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Padres | 58c | 2,411$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.38 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Nationals | 44c | 1,970$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.19 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Nationals | 47c | 1,927$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.54 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nationals | 61c | 1,726$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.06 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Nationals | 43c | 1,700$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 57c | 1,381$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.23 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Padres | 40c | 1,100$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.91 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Padres | 54c | 1,036$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.66 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Padres | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x105d…786abacked Padres | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nationals | 48c | 990$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.75 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 69c | 896.59$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.09 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nationals | 41c | 894.64$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.84 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Padres | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 58c | 699.99$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 75c | 602$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…58ffbacked Padres | 56c | 597.13$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Padres | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 42c | 499$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.42 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 41c | 489.97$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.08 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Padres | 56c | 441.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Nationals | 45c | 411.17$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.23 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Padres | 40c | 358.08$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.34 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Padres | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Padres | 58c | 350.52$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Padres | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Padres | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Padres | 48c | 324.69$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.27 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Padres | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Nationals | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 43c | 250$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 43c | 234.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.24 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Padres | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Padres | 55c | 194.33$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.88 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 42c | 189.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Padres | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Padres | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Padres | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Padres | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd827…7570backed Padres | 59c | 169.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Padres | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Nationals | 42c | 156$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae9…7473backed Padres | 59c | 153.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Nationals | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Padres | 42c | 115.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Nationals | 44c | 114.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Padres | 56c | 109$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Padres | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Padres | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Padres | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Padres | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Nationals | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Nationals | 46c | 93.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Padres | 43c | 72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nationals | 45c | 71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed Padres | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…ba10backed Nationals | 51c | 68.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 42c | 64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Padres | 57c | 63.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3237backed Nationals | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Padres | 58c | 58.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 42c | 53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Nationals | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Padres | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f92…a69bbacked Nationals | 42c | 49.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nationals | 44c | 46.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Padres | 37c | 45.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Padres | 59c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Nationals | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…fdcabacked Nationals | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Nationals | 60c | 39.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Nationals | 42c | 38.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Padres | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 45c | 32.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…80bbbacked Nationals | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…a5c7backed Padres | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…3af7backed Padres | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Nationals | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Padres | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x753e…3d11backed Padres | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…17f9backed Padres | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…a779backed Padres | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Nationals | 75c | 18.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Nationals | 75c | 15.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.