MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefb2a511b101314c0015ba79b20d8314a48c30157fbd0aaab8162ff97320fbaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Mets, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Mets | 60c | 15,208$9,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,156.53 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mets | 67c | 10,840$7,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,577.42 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Royals | 33c | 7,673$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.45 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Royals | 44c | 7,338$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.91 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Royals | 67c | 4,518$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.03 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Royals | 45c | 3,873$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.75 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Mets | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 45c | 3,216$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.39 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Royals | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Mets | 55c | 2,750$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.91 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mets | 55c | 2,561$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.16 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Mets | 55c | 2,416$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.2 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mets | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd019…0003backed Royals | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Royals | 44c | 1,907$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.18 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Royals | 44c | 1,703$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.14 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mets | 54c | 1,400$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Royals | 20c | 1,269$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.55 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 48c | 1,228$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.52 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Mets | 55c | 1,224$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.96 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Royals | 64c | 1,147$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.88 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Royals | 44c | 1,134$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.17 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Royals | 55c | 1,125$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.5 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Royals | 45c | 1,123$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.09 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a88…68b2backed Mets | 56c | 1,060$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.44 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…058cbacked Royals | 44c | 1,060$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -66%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…3010backed Mets | 55c | 1,018$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Mets | 74c | 994.99$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.7 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49f9…c621backed Mets | 55c | 982$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Mets | 51c | 900.31$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.81 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mets | 55c | 800$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mets | 55c | 730$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Royals | 61c | 704.5$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.95 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Royals | 37c | 670.47$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.29 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Royals | 47c | 632.02$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.55 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Mets | 55c | 613.7$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.7 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 46c | 545.73$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.74 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…58ffbacked Mets | 60c | 500.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…2216backed Mets | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…d8b9backed Mets | 56c | 464.29$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.29 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Royals | 44c | 447.43$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.87 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Royals | 64c | 444.92$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.77 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Royals | 43c | 444.61$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.18 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Royals | 44c | 427.46$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.08 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 26c | 412.48$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.8 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e41…364bbacked Mets | 50c | 402.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Mets | 66c | 377.19$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.19 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Mets | 56c | 359.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.84 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Mets | 57c | 352.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.63 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Mets | 57c | 349.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 42c | 339.95$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.78 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mets | 67c | 328.23$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.23 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Mets | 58c | 315.48$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Mets | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Royals | 46c | 294.43$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Royals | 4c | 286$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Mets | 56c | 252.8$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Royals | 31c | 233.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Mets | 35c | 231.21$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.59 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Royals | 9c | 225$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Royals | 45c | 222.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc839…2930backed Mets | 33c | 219.78$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.88 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Mets | 34c | 211.88$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.14 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mets | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mets | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mets | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Royals | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Royals | 39c | 191.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Royals | 56c | 190$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…fa2cbacked Mets | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 55c | 181.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed Mets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Mets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…74bcbacked Mets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 44c | 170.05$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Royals | 59c | 163.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Mets | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Royals | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Royals | 19c | 137$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Mets | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mets | 53c | 131.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Royals | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…74c9backed Royals | 46c | 126.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Royals | 45c | 123.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Royals | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…586bbacked Royals | 46c | 118.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Mets | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…1733backed Mets | 43c | 117.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Royals | 12c | 116.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…1a4ebacked Royals | 46c | 112.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Mets | 33c | 110$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…5279backed Royals | 63c | 102.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Royals | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Mets | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…0c49backed Mets | 55c | 99.53$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…4c49backed Mets | 55c | 92.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mets | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.