MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b59de1849bec9703d1acc3e6c4467e0b809b9a0e320122c194d852b206f53e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Blue Jays, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Blue Jays | 56c | 33,189$18,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,585.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Athletics | 44c | 31,779$13,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,796.32 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Blue Jays | 58c | 8,664$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Blue Jays | 67c | 8,130$5,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,446.93 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 51c | 7,233$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,534.96 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics | 67c | 7,119$4,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.01 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 6,188$3,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,415.02 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 39c | 6,173$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,775.53 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 34c | 5,363$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525.67 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 3,975$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.37 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Athletics | 43c | 3,754$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.56 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Blue Jays | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Blue Jays | 40c | 3,258$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f42…6e40backed Athletics | 44c | 3,247$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 43c | 3,142$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.22 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 35c | 3,109$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.25 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 2,804$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.19 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Athletics | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 41c | 2,731$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.09 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Blue Jays | 70c | 2,652$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.21 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Athletics | 43c | 2,267$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.17 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays | 55c | 1,808$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,700$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 1,659$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Athletics | 61c | 1,629$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.03 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Blue Jays | 54c | 1,473$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Blue Jays | 75c | 1,410$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.74 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 58c | 1,351$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Athletics | 37c | 1,189$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.23 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 64c | 1,101$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.23 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Blue Jays | 41c | 1,034$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.94 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf273…6116backed Athletics | 42c | 1,015$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…c1c1backed Blue Jays | 58c | 1,015$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Blue Jays | 61c | 1,013$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.82 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Athletics | 43c | 1,009$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.55 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 44c | 999.97$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jays | 56c | 936.93$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.68 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Blue Jays | 54c | 927.61$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.8 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…2d03backed Blue Jays | 57c | 901.54$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…12debacked Athletics | 44c | 814.47$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 799.13$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Blue Jays | 55c | 780.22$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.12 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Blue Jays | 24c | 739.78$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.82 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb14b…44bdbacked Athletics | 76c | 672.62$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 24c | 650.32$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.46 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Athletics | 47c | 639.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.92 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 33c | 607.26$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.21 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Athletics | 44c | 579.95$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.77 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Blue Jays | 55c | 548$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Blue Jays | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Blue Jays | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Blue Jays | 58c | 480$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Blue Jays | 57c | 427.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.95 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 400$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.21 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Athletics | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Athletics | 37c | 374.89$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.18 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Athletics | 73c | 360.46$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.01 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Blue Jays | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 50c | 355$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.03 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 342.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Blue Jays | 25c | 340$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 324.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 42c | 319.29$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.83 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Blue Jays | 54c | 313.31$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…58ffbacked Athletics | 47c | 307.44$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Athletics | 62c | 301$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.23 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5098…48debacked Blue Jays | 29c | 300$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.99 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Athletics | 38c | 284.96$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.35 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Athletics | 52c | 259.78$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.61 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x104c…a238backed Blue Jays | 57c | 248$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Blue Jays | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…b3f2backed Athletics | 44c | 240.09$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 42c | 236.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Blue Jays | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Athletics | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Blue Jays | 57c | 221.28$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.13 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3558…1e67backed Blue Jays | 58c | 219.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…2880backed Athletics | 44c | 219.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.84 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Blue Jays | 26c | 210$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Blue Jays | 63c | 205.9$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Blue Jays | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Athletics | 55c | 190$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…7c42backed Athletics | 44c | 181.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbd…32d3backed Blue Jays | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…2d5dbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 175.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Blue Jays | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Blue Jays | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Blue Jays | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Blue Jays | 41c | 173$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…ba21backed Athletics | 52c | 169.17$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 168$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.3wins | -0.33per pick | 52cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…6e10backed Blue Jays | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 57c | 164.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…f177backed Athletics | 44c | 161.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a05…5e89backed Athletics | 44c | 160.93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.12 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7989…da85backed Athletics | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.