Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Execration vs KUKUYS V2 - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73bdd4f08e53812f2fc6bd87a352af679a86dd1e7ccb433a10b04fdeecc0d6f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Execrationof Execration, KUKUYS V2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed KUKUYS V2 | 36c | 3,586$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.97 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Execration | 64c | 2,070$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Execration | 69c | 1,539$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.15 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed KUKUYS V2 | 7c | 623.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed KUKUYS V2 | 27c | 583$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.34 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…f692backed KUKUYS V2 | 41c | 337$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Execration | 68c | 326.97$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…9698backed Execration | 58c | 170$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…7c81backed Execration | 59c | 168$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Execration | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…a501backed KUKUYS V2 | 11c | 108.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Execration | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…233cbacked KUKUYS V2 | 41c | 84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…c580backed Execration | 59c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…e6babacked KUKUYS V2 | 41c | 84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…2f5abacked Execration | 60c | 83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…241dbacked KUKUYS V2 | 41c | 83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…e6d1backed Execration | 60c | 83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Execration | 75c | 50.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed KUKUYS V2 | 26c | 48.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed KUKUYS V2 | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Execration | 77c | 43.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked KUKUYS V2 | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Execration | 70c | 29.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1d…a7f9backed Execration | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Execration vs KUKUYS V2 - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Execration vs KUKUYS V2 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsExecration won
- Dota 2: Execration vs KUKUYS V2 - Game 1 WinnerExecration won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.