Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47a2ff766a0dfd98f93024ce5715d3036761d62ff434c76a7ec0e54eb087cd85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksof Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf1e…2f5abacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 51c | 292$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…233cbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 48c | 194$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…c580backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 48c | 178$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…7bb6backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 54c | 103.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…f692backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 46c | 75.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 45c | 65.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-4.5)this page
- Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-5.5)Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks won
- Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-6.5)Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks won
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi IslandersStephen F. Austin Lumberjacks won
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders: O/U 134.5Over won
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders: O/U 135.5Over won
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders: O/U 136.5Over won
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders: O/U 137.5Over won
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders: O/U 138.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.