Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91362ba3a6af1086be6c56203ac746341e6e33bfdc90081e3224bcf6db0a43be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksof Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 53c | 6,500$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 47c | 6,477$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.83 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 52c | 1,957$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.96 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 51c | 1,031$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.45 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 45c | 825.21$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.34 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 48c | 781.28$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.28 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 47c | 732$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.96 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 53c | 599.98$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.99 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 50c | 584.15$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.78 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 48c | 448.69$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.52 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 55c | 424.03$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.82 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…fab1backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 46c | 415$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 53c | 376.08$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.02 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 48c | 283.97$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.48 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 55c | 250$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.34 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 50c | 227$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 47c | 225.76$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.65 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 52c | 170.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…380bbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 48c | 152.79$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 47c | 128.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 72c | 117.17$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 46c | 92.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 47c | 82.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 55c | 70.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 50c | 68.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 51c | 68.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 47c | 64.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 53c | 57.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 53c | 56.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 47c | 45.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 48c | 44.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 47c | 37.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…15d4backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 54c | 32.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…0bb0backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-5.5)this page
- Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-4.5)Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks won
- Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-6.5)Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks won
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi IslandersStephen F. Austin Lumberjacks won
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders: O/U 134.5Over won
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders: O/U 135.5Over won
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders: O/U 136.5Over won
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders: O/U 137.5Over won
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders: O/U 138.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.