Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Southern Jaguars (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ed27f869b20ec162778d4bf43a5d64e63376c3f446eb70e864e0eda41fe3100
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Southern Tigersof Southern Jaguars, Texas Southern Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6027…4320backed Southern Jaguars | 53c | 453.19$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.19 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas Southern Tigers | 47c | 437.07$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.02 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…9698backed Southern Jaguars | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…2f5abacked Texas Southern Tigers | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…233cbacked Texas Southern Tigers | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…c580backed Southern Jaguars | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…f692backed Texas Southern Tigers | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Texas Southern Tigers | 52c | 26.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Southern Jaguars (-3.5)this page
- Southern Jaguars vs. Texas Southern TigersTexas Southern Tigers won
- Southern Jaguars vs. Texas Southern Tigers: O/U 151.5Under won
- Southern Jaguars vs. Texas Southern Tigers: O/U 152.5Under won
- Southern Jaguars vs. Texas Southern Tigers: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Southern Jaguars (-2.5)Texas Southern Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.