Asian League · resolved market
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fb510eb703a9f07fb49e1b0b813f666259d6a2cc954c3cac66aa011d66c90fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 627.1$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 424.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.93 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 416.06$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…0e06backed Over | 78c | 230.35$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 24c | 159.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…1e0bbacked Over | 70c | 99.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…4cd8backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…3528backed Under | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 72c | 19.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.